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. 2022 May 28;15:181. doi: 10.1186/s13071-022-05268-w

Table 2.

Summary of the sensitivity analysis

Parameter Baseline hydrocele average estimate (range) Baseline lymphedema average estimate (range) Sources
Pre-control burden
 Percentage of the at-risk population that develop clinical disease 2.08% (1.04%) 1.25% (0.63%) [16]
Disability weights
 Disability weights related to chronic disease 0.128 (0.086–0.180) 0.109 (0.073–0.154) [17]
 Disability weight for ADL episodes 0.051 (0.032–0.074) 0.051 (0.032–0.074) [17]
Disease progression & incidence rates
 Percentage of clinical patients who experience ADL episodes per year 70% (45–90%) 95% (90–95%) [2634]
 Frequency of ADL episodes for clinical patients (in absence of MDA) 2 (0–7) per year 4 (0–7) per year [2634]
 Average duration of an ADL episode 4 (1–9) days 4 (1–9) days [2634]
 Mean age of the benefit cohorts (years)

Cohort 1: 20 (30)

Cohort 2: 20 (30)

Cohort 3: 30 (40)

Cohort 1: 20 (30)

Cohort 2: 20 (30)

Cohort 3: 30 (40)

Impact of treatment
 The reduction in transmission experienced by the treated population (Benefit cohort 1)

Year 1: 50% (35%)

Year 2: 75% (53%)

Year 3: 88% (62%)

Year 4: 94% (66%)

Year 5 95% (67%)

Year 1: 50% (35%)

Year 2: 75% (53%)

Year 3: 88% (62%)

Year 4: 94% (66%)

Year 5 95% (67%)

[12]
 Reduction in the frequency of ADL episodes by MDA (Benefit cohort 3) 50% (15–88%) 50% (15–88%) [3537]
 Percentage of chronic disease alleviated by MDA (Benefit cohort 3) 10% (0–20%) 15% (0–30%) [35, 3843]

Based on Chu et al. [10], though updated where appropriate

ADL acute adenolymphangitis, DALY disability-adjusted life year, MDA mass drug administration