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. 2017 Nov 9;145(16):3334–3344. doi: 10.1017/S0950268817002369

Table 1.

Model parameters and sources of data for estimating the burden of seasonal influenza, Beijing, 2015–2016 season

Parameters Sources of data Data included in the model
Na: age-specific reported number of ILI consultations from ILI surveillance ILI surveillance in Beijing Aged 0–4 years: 241 834;
Aged 5–14 years: 124 742;
Aged 15–24 years: 61 947;
Aged 25–59 years: 162 988;
Aged 60+ years: 43 943
Ra: age-specific proportion of positive cases from influenza virus surveillance* Influenza virus surveillance in Beijing Aged 0–4 years: 10·7%(454/4258);
Aged 5–14 years: 20·0%(571/2851);
Aged 15–24 years: 16·9%(498/2949);
Aged 25–59 years: 20·5%(1652/8069);
Aged 60+ years: 23·9%(319/1337)
P: proportion of symptomatic cases among influenza infections Published study [19] 58·3–74·5%
Q: proportion of ILI cases among symptomatic infections Published study [16] 26·0–42·0%
Ca: age-specific consultation rates the fourth National Health Services Survey of China [20] Aged 0–4 years: 69·2–76·2%;
Aged 5–14 years: 57·2–62·2%;
Aged 15–24 years: 48·2–52·8%;
Aged 25–59 years: 49·6–51·4%;
Aged 60+ years: 69·5–72·9%
S: success rate for sampling pharyngeal swab specimens Published study [16] 80–90%
T: test sensitivity of detection of polymerase chain reaction Published study [16] 95–100%

ILI, influenza-like illness.

*

Age-specific proportion of positive cases was calculated by dividing the number of positive specimens by the total number of specimens within each age group.