Table 3.

Median listeriosis cases and the 5th and 95th percentile estimates for each of the products following a simulated L. monocytogenes contamination event in Canada, as determined by Monte Carlo simulations using Latin Hypercube Sampling with 100 000 iterations. Relative differences as compared to the product with the greatest public health risk are provided to demonstrate the utility of the model for comparing various product and product treatment scenarios

Product	Median listeriosis cases (5th percentile, 95th percentile)		Median cases relative to turkey without growth inhibitors (%)
Beef delicatessen meat with growth inhibitors	8·9 × 10−2	(1·8 × 10−4, 7·3 × 102)	1·3
Ham delicatessen meat with growth inhibitors	1·9 × 10−2	(1·2 × 10−4, 2·0 × 102)	0·28
Turkey delicatessen meat with growth inhibitors	6·0 × 10−2	(2·0 × 10−4, 3·5 × 102)	0·91
Hot dogs with growth inhibitors	2·2 × 10−3	(1·2 × 10−5,2·0 × 101)	0·03
Beef delicatessen meat without growth inhibitors	5·0	(1·3 × 10−3, 2·1 × 103)	75
Ham delicatessen meat without growth inhibitors	1·5	(6·1 × 10−4, 1·5 × 103)	22
Turkey delicatessen meat without growth inhibitors	6·6	(3·5 × 10−3, 2·1 × 103)	Reference
Hot dogs without growth inhibitors	1·1 × 10−1	(5·5 × 10−5, 2·1 × 102)	1·6