Table 3.
Proportion of cases attributable to the specific source and corresponding uncertainty (95% CrI)
| Campylobacter source-attribution model (CAMSA) | Asymmetric Island model | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Input 1 | 95% CrI | Input 2 | 95% CrI | Input 1 | 95% CrI | Input 2 | 95% CrI | |
| Chicken, Denmark | 0·38 | 0·28–0·47 | 0·35 | 0·27–0·43 | 0·52 | 0·37–0·67 | 0·57 | 0·41–0·72 |
| Chicken, imported | 0·14 | 0·10–0·18 | 0·12 | 0·09–0·15 | 0·17 | 0·03–0·33 | 0·19 | 0·03–0·37 |
| Turkey | 0·06 | 0·01–0·13 | 0·06 | 0·02–0·12 | 0·05 | 0·00–0·24 | 0·06 | 0·00–0·22 |
| Duck | 0·03 | 0·01–0·06 | 0·04 | 0·01–0·08 | 0·02 | 0·00–0·10 | 0·02 | 0·00–0·09 |
| Cattle | 0·16 | 0·07–0·25 | 0·10 | 0·04–0·17 | 0·17 | 0·07–0·28 | 0·08 | 0·01–0·18 |
| Pig | — | — | — | — | 0·07 | 0·00–0·18 | 0·07 | 0·00–0·19 |
| Unknown | 0·21 | 0·10–0·31 | 0·32 | 0·22–0·41 | — | — | — | — |
| Travel | 0·03 | 0·02–0·04 | 0·03 | 0·02–0·04 | — | — | — | — |
CrI, Credibility interval.
Attribution of human cases (domestic and without travel history) with basic models; differentiation based on MLST (input 1) and differentiation based on MLST + typed flaA gene (input 2)