Table 3.
Net benefit of risk-stratified screening for the reference case, accounting for the harms of the screening test across different scenarios.
| NWS | NWD-1 | Marker does not discriminate between incidence and mortality | Marker discriminates between incidence and mortality | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Screen All | Screen 50% | Screen 33% | Screen 10% | Highest net benefit for less predictive marker | Screen 50% | Screen 33% | Screen 10% | |||
| 750 | 30 | 7.33 | 6.27 | 5.37 | 2.73 | 5.40 | 7.77 | 7.73 | 5.92 | |
| 750 | 20 | 6.67 | 5.73 | 4.92 | 2.51 | 4.93 | 7.23 | 7.26 | 5.65 | |
| 750 | 10 | 4.67 | 4.13 | 3.58 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 5.63 | 5.86 | 4.83 | |
| 500 | 30 | 6.67 | 5.93 | 5.15 | 2.66 | 5.07 | 7.43 | 7.51 | 5.85 | |
| 500 | 20 | 6.00 | 5.40 | 4.70 | 2.44 | 4.60 | 6.90 | 7.04 | 5.58 | |
| 500 | 10 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 3.36 | 1.78 | 3.20 | 5.30 | 5.64 | 4.76 | |
| 250 | 30 | 4.67 | 4.93 | 4.49 | 2.46 | 4.07 | 6.43 | 6.85 | 5.65 | |
| 250 | 20 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 4.04 | 2.24 | 3.60 | 5.90 | 6.38 | 5.38 | |
| 250 | 10 | 2.00 | 2.80 | 2.70 | 1.58 | 2.20 | 4.30 | 4.98 | 4.56 | |
| 100 | 20 | −2.00 | 1.40 | 2.06 | 1.64 | 0.70 | 2.90 | 4.40 | 4.78 | |
| 50 | 20 | −12.00 | −3.60 | −1.24 | 0.64 | −0.40 | −2.10 | 1.10 | 3.78 | |
| 25 | 20 | −32.00 | −13.60 | −7.84 | −1.36 | −2.40 | −12.10 | −5.50 | 1.78 | |
| 1500 | 30 | 8.00 | 6.60 | 5.59 | 2.79 | 5.73 | 8.10 | 7.95 | 5.99 | |
| 2500 | 50 | 8.80 | 7.16 | 6.03 | 3.00 | 6.24 | 8.66 | 8.41 | 6.23 | |
Bold values denote the strategy with the highest net benefit.