Table 2.
The impact of changes to the rate of transmission by contact type in a simulation model of low pathogenic notifiable avian influenza transmission in GB on the mean number of infected flocks (all species)
| Scenario | Number of infected premises | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 90%* | Percentage of runs with >100 cases | |
| Baseline | 71 | 45 | 4 |
| Double local | 297 | 2523 | 12 |
| Half local | 21 | 35 | 2 |
| Double owner | 227 | 1712 | 14 |
| Half owner | 20 | 15 | 1 |
| Double slaughter | 92 | 993 | 6 |
| Half slaughter | 59 | 43 | 4 |
*
The 90th percentile of the number of infected premises.