Table 1.
Average number of averted deaths per million (95% CI in brackets), separately in the 1st and 2nd outbreak, due to reducing vaccine hesitation in one percent point
| State | Averted deaths (1st outbreak) | Averted deaths (2nd outbreak) | State | Averted deaths (1st outbreak) | Averted deaths (2nd outbreak) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK | 5.12 [2.83–10.57] | 16.78 [9.37–35.14] | MT | 12.03 [6.62–23.86] | 34.49 [18.93–67.57] |
| AL | 8.62 [4.73–17.13] | 39.18 [21.49–76.94] | NC | 8.08 [4.44–16.11] | 34.3 [18.83–67.7] |
| AR | 10.23 [5.61–20.29] | 42.38 [23.17–82.64] | ND | 10.83 [5.92–21.52] | 35.56 [19.34–69.23] |
| AZ | 9.66 [5.29–19.12] | 39.74 [21.73–77.58] | NE | 9.75 [5.34–19.35] | 27.7 [15.11–54.23] |
| CA | 8.79 [4.81–17.45] | 24.96 [13.62–49.08] | NH | 12.1 [6.67–24.09] | 33.04 [18.19–65.35] |
| CO | 7.66 [4.21–15.43] | 26.57 [14.62–53.06] | NJ | 4.49 [2.47–8.91] | 27.55 [15.08–54.42] |
| CT | 10.43 [5.72–20.71] | 28.18 [15.43- 55.57] | NM | 10.73 [5.9–21.38] | 37.28 [20.45–73.19] |
| DC | 4.09 [2.22–8.28] | 9.43 [5.16–20.01] | NV | 7.57 [4.16–15.1] | 34.65 [19.04–68.39] |
| DE | 8.34 [4.59–16.6] | 26.71 [14.71–52.98] | NY | 4.18 [2.29–8.29] | 31.78 [17.35–62.54] |
| FL | 10.3 [5.62–20.2] | 48.74 [26.54–94.48] | OH | 10.55 [5.79–20.98] | 32.53 [17.83–63.96] |
| GA | 5.89 [3.24–11.8] | 38.9 [21.38–76.83] | OK | 9.74 [5.34–19.41] | 38.24 [20.93–74.83] |
| HI | 9.31 [5.09–18.44] | 10.87 [6.06–22.76] | OR | 11.05 [6.07–21.97] | 35.75 [19.61–70.23] |
| IA | 7.31 [4.0–14.56] | 31.54 [17.25–62.05] | PA | 7.84 [4.3–15.2] | 36.33 [19.88–71.2] |
| ID | 10.18 [5.59–20.29] | 35.19 [19.29–68.9] | RI | 10.26 [5.63–20.38] | 26.66 [14.59–52.55] |
| IL | 9.28 [5.08–18.44] | 30.61 [16.73–60.12] | SC | 9.66 [5.32–19.19] | 39.87 [21.91–78.17] |
| IN | 9.00 [4.95–18.04] | 30.06 [16.51–59.43] | SD | 10.53 [5.79–21.03] | 35.13 [19.24–68.87] |
| KS | 9.08 [4.99–18.16] | 33.38 [18.29–65.69] | TN | 9.54 [5.24–19.0] | 39.14 [21.47–76.84] |
| KY | 11.88 [6.52–23.52] | 37.12 [20.32–72.48] | TX | 5.99 [3.29–12.05] | 27.89 [15.3–55.49] |
| LA | 7.68 [4.22–15.25] | 45.27 [24.79–88.51] | UT | 5.68 [7.38–26.53] | 17.02 [9.31–34.05] |
| MA | 8.37 [4.59–16.67] | 16.94 [9.29–33.83] | VA | 8.31 [4.57–16.66] | 27.93 [15.37–55.55] |
| MD | 5.64 [3.1–11.27] | 25.95 [14.27–51.71] | VT | 13.40 [7.38–26.53] | 31.36 [17.21–61.56] |
| ME | 14.13 [7.77–27.89] | 29.7 [16.29–58.21] | WA | 8.14 [4.48–16.35] | 22.54 [12.4–45.11] |
| MI | 12.03 [6.6–23.82] | 40.84 [22.34–79.66] | WI | 10.70 [5.88–21.28] | 30.5 [16.71–59.9] |
| MN | 7.42 [4.08–14.82] | 31.34 [17.18–61.9] | WV | 13.25 [7.28–26.2] | 44.72 [24.5–87.12] |
| MO | 10.60 [5.81–21.04] | 34.9 [19.09–68.37] | WY | 12.39 [6.82–24.64] | 39.78 [21.81–77.73] |
| MS | 8.78 [4.82–17.48] | 38.48 [21.09–75.36] | US | 7.95 [4.36–15.85] | 32.15 [17.62–63.43] |
Results shown for every state and for the whole country (US)