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. 2022 Jun 2;64(2):147–190. doi: 10.1007/s11166-022-09375-y

Table 11.

The effect of posterior beliefs about R0 on willingness to engage in best practices (probit)

Willingness to avoid meeting people in high-risk groups
7 days ITT 7 days LATE 2 months ITT 2 months LATE
Upper-bound condition -0.170** -0.184**
(0.0760) (0.0780)
Beliefs about R0 -0.0246*** -0.0254***
(0.00654) (0.00604)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 2,404 2,404 2,405 2,405
Willingness to wash hands frequently
7 days ITT 7 days LATE 2 months ITT 2 months LATE
Upper-bound condition -0.0985 -0.260**
(0.115) (0.118)
Beliefs about R0 -0.0169 -0.0294***
(0.0154) (0.00444)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 2,399 2,399 2,400 2,400
Willingness to work from home
7 days ITT 7 days LATE 2 months ITT 2 months LATE
Upper-bound condition -0.0773 -0.0500
(0.0549) (0.0546)
Beliefs about R0 -0.0136 -0.00926
(0.00854) (0.00956)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 2,391 2,391 2,405 2,405

The first and third columns present intention to treat (ITT) estimates of the effect of assignment to the upper-bound condition on our outcomes of interest. The second and fourth columns present local average treatment effect (LATE) estimates of the effect of beliefs about R0 on the same outcomes. The outcomes of interest are whether participants comply with various behaviors if the pandemic were to continue for 7 days or 2 months. We use robust standard errors (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1)