Table 1.

Priors as used in the state-space population models of Anopheles funestus and the estimated posteriors mean and 95% credible intervals

Parameter		Prior distribution				Posterior distribution
Notation	Description	Type	Source	Mean	95-percentiles	Mean	95-percentiles
$s_e$	Eggs daily survival rate	Beta	This study	0.794	[0.619, 1]	0.789	[0.776, 0.804]
$\lambda$	Eggs development period	Beta	This study	0.5	[0.4, 0.6]	0.499	[0.485, 0.514]
${\beta }_0$	Baseline larval daily survival	Beta	This study	0.923	[0.801, 1]	0.950	[0.943, 0.956]
$C_0$	Baseline larval development period	Beta	This study	0.063	[0.055, 0.071]	0.063	[0.062, 0.064]
$s_p$	Pupae daily survival rate	Beta	This study	0.941	[0.874, 1]	0.944	[0.930, 0.950]
$p_r$	Pupae development period	Beta	This study	0.522	[0.253, 0.792]	0.525	[0.506, 0.546]
${\phi }_0$	Baseline unfed daily survival	Beta	This study	0.935	[0.877, 0.992]	0.937	[0.933, 0.941]
$a_r$	Unfed development period	Beta	This study	0.20	[0.19, 0.21]	0.200	[0.198, 0.201]
${\theta }_0$	Baseline blood-fed daily survival	Beta	This study	0.807	[0.654, 0.961]	0.810	[0.799, 0.820]
$f_r$	Blood-fed daily transition rate	Beta	This study	0.25	[0.05, 045]	0.269	[0.256, 0.280]
${\alpha }_0$	Baseline gravid daily survival	Beta	This study	0.904	[0.848, 0.961]	0.903	[0.899, 0.907]
$v_r$	Gravid daily transition rate	Beta	This study	0.333	[0.133, 0.533]	0.311	[0.297, 0.324]
$b_0$	No. eggs/female (Per capita fecundity)	Beta	This study	80	[60, 100]	78	[74, 80]
$\xi$	Coefficient of variability	Beta	Uninformative prior	0.5	[0.1, 0.9]	0.79	[0.810, 0.825]
${\omega }_{\eta =f}$	Coefficient of “Trap biasness” for the blood-fed	Beta	Msugupakyula et al. [58] and Kaindoa et al. [6]	0.1	[0.05, 0.15]	0.122	[0.117, 0.127]
${\omega }_{\eta =v}$	Coefficient of “Trap biasness” for the gravid			0.505*${\omega }_f$	[0.025,0.076]	0.062	[0.059, 0.064]

Refers to an interaction between 1-week cumulative rainfall and density dependency