Table 1.
Age adjusted mortality rates (AMMRs) per 100 000 population and average annual percentage change (AAPC) in Democratic and Republican counties overall and by sex, race and ethnicity, and urban-rural status, 2001-19
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | AMMR difference (95% CI) | AAPC (%) (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 858.8 | 855.9 | 843.5 | 813.7 | 815.0 | 791.8 | 775.3 | 774.9 | 749.6 | 747.0 | 741.3 | 732.8 | 731.9 | 724.6 | 733.1 | 728.8 | 731.9 | 723.6 | 715.2 | 143.5 (143.1 to 143.9) | −1.0 (−1.2 to -0.9) |
| Democratic | 850.3 | 843.1 | 828.4 | 800.1 | 789.8 | 768.1 | 750.4 | 746.0 | 721.9 | 716.6 | 711.5 | 701.6 | 697.3 | 688.4 | 696.2 | 692.8 | 680.6 | 672.6 | 664.0 | 186.3 (185.5 to 187.1) | −1.4 (−1.5 to −1.2) |
| Republican | 867.0 | 868.0 | 857.6 | 826.3 | 835.6 | 810.9 | 795.1 | 798.0 | 791.6 | 793.0 | 786.4 | 779.9 | 776.1 | 770.8 | 779.8 | 774.1 | 788.6 | 779.5 | 771.1 | 95.9 (95.5 to 96.3) | −0.7 (−0.9 to −0.5) |
| Democratic | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Male resident | 1028 | 1020 | 998.0 | 963.2 | 947.3 | 922.5 | 900.4 | 891.7 | 862.0 | 854.7 | 845.0 | 834.0 | 828.5 | 818.8 | 826.2 | 826.2 | 810.1 | 802.7 | 793.2 | 234.8 (233.6 to 236) | −1.4 (−1.6 to −1.3) |
| Female resident | 718.1 | 711.3 | 700.3 | 676.8 | 669.6 | 649.6 | 635.0 | 632.8 | 612.6 | 608.5 | 605.6 | 596.0 | 592.2 | 583.5 | 590.5 | 583.7 | 574.0 | 565.2 | 556.5 | 161.6 (160.5 to 162.7) | −1.4 (−1.5 to −1.2) |
| Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Male resident | 1042.6 | 1040.8 | 1021.9 | 982.8 | 991.7 | 960.1 | 940.5 | 939.9 | 934.1 | 935.0 | 920.1 | 911.2 | 907.1 | 900.0 | 908.8 | 903.7 | 923.1 | 912.1 | 903.6 | 139 (138.3 to 139.7) | −0.8 (−1.0 to −0.5) |
| Female resident | 733.0 | 735.4 | 729.3 | 703.4 | 711.2 | 690.8 | 676.9 | 682.0 | 674.3 | 675.8 | 674.0 | 668.9 | 664.3 | 659.9 | 668.0 | 661.3 | 671.3 | 663.1 | 654.3 | 78.7 (78.1 to 79.3) | −0.7 (−0.8 to −0.5) |
| Democratic | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Black | 1116.4 | 1106.9 | 1090.5 | 1054.7 | 1039.9 | 1012.9 | 987.6 | 963.9 | 924.8 | 907.5 | 894.9 | 879.9 | 877.8 | 864.8 | 869.4 | 878.0 | 867.9 | 865.7 | 857.7 | 258.7 (256.7 to 260.7) | −1.5 (−1.6 to −1.3) |
| White | 833.4 | 828.3 | 814.0 | 789.9 | 778.3 | 758.4 | 743.5 | 742.8 | 723.1 | 720.4 | 720.7 | 710.0 | 707.3 | 702.0 | 711.8 | 707.7 | 699.9 | 689.8 | 679.8 | 153.6 (151.9 to 155.3) | −1.1 (−1.2 to −0.9) |
| Hispanic | 651.4 | 638.6 | 638.1 | 605.0 | 618.4 | 598.5 | 578.0 | 576.3 | 560.8 | 558.9 | 542.5 | 541.1 | 539.0 | 525.4 | 527.5 | 530.5 | 523.1 | 522.9 | 523.3 | 128.1 (127.3 to 128.9) | −1.2 (−1.4 to −1.0) |
| Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Black | 1134.9 | 1129.1 | 1116.5 | 1079.1 | 1081.6 | 1031.4 | 1007.5 | 980.1 | 963.3 | 958.9 | 922.4 | 908.9 | 907.3 | 888.9 | 896.1 | 898.0 | 914.2 | 914.2 | 903.3 | 231.6 (221.8 to 241.4) | −1.3 (−1.5 to −1.1) |
| White | 858.1 | 860.7 | 851.3 | 821.3 | 831.8 | 809.6 | 796.1 | 803.3 | 794.6 | 797.5 | 795.4 | 789.3 | 786.2 | 782.6 | 793.2 | 788.5 | 798.6 | 789.4 | 781.1 | 77 (76.7 to 77.3) | −0.5 (−0.7 to −0.4) |
| Hispanic | 682.6 | 675.2 | 656.8 | 636.0 | 640.8 | 611.4 | 598.0 | 584.9 | 555.2 | 557.5 | 532.7 | 530.5 | 521.7 | 514.8 | 516.6 | 509.0 | 527.6 | 525.7 | 523.7 | 158.9 (155.5 to 162.3) | −1.5 (−1.7 to −1.3) |
| Democratic | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Large metropolitan area | 841.2 | 830.3 | 814.4 | 786.7 | 777.8 | 756.5 | 736.5 | 731.0 | 707.0 | 699.9 | 693.0 | 681.6 | 678.2 | 667.5 | 673.8 | 671.6 | 663.9 | 656.5 | 646.7 | 194.5 (193.7 to 195.3) | −1.4 (−1.6 to −1.3) |
| Medium metropolitan area | 845.9 | 845.5 | 834.1 | 804.4 | 798.5 | 776.3 | 761.7 | 759.5 | 740.8 | 738.3 | 736.7 | 730.3 | 728.2 | 723.4 | 734.5 | 729.4 | 720.5 | 711.9 | 706.6 | 139.3 (138.1 to 140.5) | −1.0 (−1.1 to −0.8) |
| Rural | 937.3 | 942.2 | 928.3 | 900.5 | 881.1 | 855.7 | 851.1 | 848.5 | 784.4 | 785.1 | 786.2 | 777.8 | 796.1 | 793.3 | 807.5 | 799.8 | 799.0 | 785.8 | 782.9 | 154.4 (153.1 to 155.7) | −1.0 (−1.3 to −0.8) |
| Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Large metropolitan area | 846.5 | 842.9 | 826.3 | 798.6 | 799.8 | 774.3 | 754.5 | 752.8 | 734.0 | 736.5 | 727.6 | 718.8 | 714.7 | 708.0 | 712.9 | 708.8 | 731.6 | 722.1 | 712.9 | 133.6 (132.2 to 135) | −0.9 (−1.1 to −0.7) |
| Medium metropolitan area | 867.5 | 867.5 | 862.4 | 828.8 | 840.5 | 816.4 | 800.3 | 801.8 | 789.5 | 792.1 | 783.0 | 779.2 | 776.6 | 767.4 | 782.1 | 775.9 | 787.1 | 778.1 | 767.6 | 99.9 (99.4 to 100.4) | −0.7 (−0.8 to −0.5) |
| Rural | 900.5 | 910.2 | 901.5 | 869.3 | 886.8 | 863.3 | 853.3 | 866.0 | 857.9 | 857.8 | 858.3 | 852.2 | 845.5 | 840.3 | 855.9 | 850.4 | 851.9 | 844.3 | 840.7 | 59.8 (59.5 to 60.1) | −0.4 (−0.6 to −0.2) |