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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Jun 10.
Published in final edited form as: NEJM Evid. 2022 Apr 11;1(5):EVIDoa2100056. doi: 10.1056/EVIDoa2100056

Table 2b:

Incidence of persistent HPV 16/18/31/33/45/52/58 and Vaccine Efficacy by Month 18 (mITT Cohort)

95% Confidence
Interval*
Statistical Comparisons***
Arm Enrolled
(n)
HPV
16/18/31/
33/45/52/
58 naïve^
(mITT)
(n)
Incident
persistent
HPV
16/18/31/3
3/45/52/58
(n)
Woman-
years of
Follow-
up**
Incidence of
persistent
HPV
16/18/31/33/4
5/52/58 per
100 Woman-
years
Lower
Bound
Upper
Bound
Comparison Vaccine
Efficacy
95% CI P-value
(Log-
rank)
Nonavalent HPV 758 325 4 389.18 1.03 0.28 2.63 Nonavalent v. Meningococcal 88.9% (68.5%, 96.1%) <.0001
Meningococcal 757 290 29 307.81 9.42 6.31 13.53
*

Exact 95% confidence interval for incidence rate computed using the Poisson distribution.

**

Follow-up time amongst women HPV 16/18/31/33/45/52/58 DNA-negative at month 0 and month 3, and antibody-negative at month 0.

***

Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals are estimated using a single Cox proportional hazards regression model with a three-way class variable for vaccine arm. The model is stratified by site, with Efron method for handling ties, and vaccine arm was the only covariate. Vaccine efficacy and 95% CI computed from the hazard ratio as 100*(1-HR). P-value (log-rank) computed for each comparison using the log-rank test.

^

HPV 16/18/31/33/45/52/58 naïve participants are those who tested negative for HPV 16/18/31/33/45/52/58 antibodies at enrollment and negative for HPV 16/18/31/33/45/52/58 DNA at enrollment and month three.