Supplementary Figure 2.

A-D, Probability of an occurrence of an SAE by community transmission rates across different testing scenarios. Adjusted to the baseline risk of SAE for vaccinated individuals. A, The expected cost to avoid an SAE under the worst case RAT scenario. B, The expected cost to avoid an SAE under the best case RAT scenario. C, The expected cost to avoid an SAE under the PCR test scenario. D, The expected cost to avoid an SAE under the alternate scenario. Blue line, risk of SAE = 30%; green line, risk of SAE = 20%; red line, risk of SAE = 40%. SAE, Serious adverse event; RAT, rapid antigen testing; PCR, polymerase chain reaction.