Table 6.
ARDL bounds test analysis
Test statistics | Value | K | ||||
F-statistics | 14.684 | 9 | No level relationship | Relationship exists | ||
t-statistics | -10.032 | |||||
Kripfganz & Schneider (2018) critical values and approximate p-values y | ||||||
Significance | F-statistics | t-statistics p-value F | ||||
1(0) | 1(1) | 1(0) | 1(1) | 1(0) | 1(1) | |
10% | 2.63 | 3.61 | -2.88 | -4.51 | 0.000*** | 0.000*** |
5% | 2.73 | 3.85 | -2.35 | -4.46 | p-value t | |
1% | 3.97 | 4.25 | -3.94 | -4.58 | 0.000*** | 0.002** |
*, ** and *** respectively represent statistical significance at 10%, 5% and 1% levels. The respective significance levels suggest the rejection of the null hypothesis of no cointegration. The optimal lag length on each variable is chosen by the Schwarz's Bayesian information criterion (SBIC)