Table:
Percentage excess in mortality and excess deaths per 100 000 residents in 2000 and 2019 and percentage change per decade over 2000–19 by continent and region
| Mean annual excess deaths | Excess in mortality (%) | Excess deaths, per 100 000 residents | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2019 | Change per decade (%)* | 2000 | 2019 | Change per decade (%)* | ||
| Global | 1 753 392 (1 159 901 to 2 357 718) |
3·2 (2·1 to 4·3) |
3·5 (2·3 to 4·7) |
4·6 (3·7 to 5·3) |
27·7 (18·2 to 37·4) |
24·6 (16·4 to 32·9) |
−7·5 (−9·0 to −5·8) |
| Americas | 160 207 (86 968 to 235 078) |
2·6 (1·4 to 3·9) |
2·7 (1·5 to 4·0) |
3·0 (1·6 to 4·6) |
18·2 (9·8 to 26·7) |
18·1 (9·9 to 26·4) |
1·0 (−1·5 to 4·5) |
| Northern America | 86 097 (50 232 to 122 855) |
3·1 (1·8 to 4·4) |
3·1 (1·8 to 4·5) |
2·8 (1·3 to 4·4) |
25·9 (15·2 to 36·9) |
26·0 (15·1 to 37·1) |
1·4 (−1·3 to 4·0) |
| Latin America and the Caribbean | 74 110 (36 736 to 112 222) |
2·3 (1·1 to 3·5) |
2·3 (1·2 to 3·5) |
3·3 (1·8 to 4·8) |
13·6 (6·6 to 20·6) |
13·4 (6·8 to 20·2) |
0·7 (−2·1 to 4·2) |
| Europe | 127 890 (64 611 to 191 908) |
1·5 (0·8 to 2·2) |
1·7 (0·9 to 2·4) |
4·4 (2·2 to 5·6) |
17·7 (8·9 to 26·6) |
17·4 (9·1 to 25·8) |
−3·8 (−8·2 to −1·2) |
| Northern Europe | 13 236 (8036 to 18 475) |
1·4 (0·8 to 1·9) |
1·6 (1·0 to 2·2) |
4·2 (0·6 to 6·5) |
14·2 (8·6 to 19·7) |
13·2 (8·1 to 18·3) |
−7·5 (−13·1 to −2·8) |
| Eastern Europe | 55 396 (18 825 to 92 378) |
1·3 (0·4 to 2·1) |
1·4 (0·5 to 2·3) |
2·6 (0·7 to 4·0) |
18·9 (6·5 to 31·4) |
17·7 (6·4 to 29·2) |
−8·3 (−11·4 to −5·5) |
| Western Europe | 29 868 (17 884 to 42 046) |
1·6 (0·9 to 2·2) |
1·8 (1·1 to 2·5) |
4·5 (−0·2 to 6·9) |
15·0 (9·0 to 21·2) |
17·3 (10·4 to 24·3) |
5·3 (−0·1 to 9·5) |
| Southern Europe | 29 390 (19 867 to 39 009) |
2·1 (1·4 to 2·8) |
2·2 (1·5 to 2·9) |
2·9 (0·8 to 5·5) |
20·7 (13·9 to 27·5) |
19·7 (13·3 to 26·2) |
−2·0 (−6·7 to 3·1) |
| Africa | 170 094 (50 522 to 291 300) |
1·7 (0·5 to 2·9) |
1·8 (0·5 to 3·0) |
3·3 (1·9 to 4·6) |
22·2 (6·3 to 38·4) |
12·9 (3·9 to 22·0) |
−31·3 (−32·7 to −29·6) |
| Northern Africa | 42 326 (28 057 to 56 784) |
3·6 (2·4 to 4·8) |
3·6 (2·4 to 4·8) |
0·7 (−1·1 to 2·3) |
23·6 (15·6 to 31·7) |
19·0 (12·6 to 25·5) |
−12·2 (−13·4 to −10·7) |
| Sub-Saharan Africa |
127 768 (22 465 to 234 516) |
1·4 (0·2 to 2·6) |
1·4 (0·2 to 2·7) |
0·2 (−1·1 to 1·6) |
21·9 (3·8 to 40·1) |
11·4 (1·8 to 21·2) |
−373 (−39·0 to −35·6) |
| Asia | 1 288 284 (955 630 to 1 627 654) |
4·5 (3·4 to 5·7) |
4·7 (3·5 to 6·0) |
2·1 (1·0 to 3·0) |
33·1 (24·6 to 41·7) |
30·5 (22·5 to 38·6) |
−5·3 (−6·9 to −3·6) |
| Southeast Asia | 113 360 (74 167 to 153 030) |
3·0 (1·9 to 4·0) |
3·3 (2·2 to 4·5) |
2·8 (0·6 to 4·8) |
20·7 (13·7 to 27·8) |
19·3 (12·6 to 26·1) |
−9·8 (−13·2 to −4·8) |
| Western Asia | 63 169 (51 417 to 75 071) |
5·5 (4·5 to 6·5) |
5·7 (4·7 to 6·8) |
3·2 (1·7 to 5·4) |
32·2 (26·3 to 38·2) |
25·7 (20·9 to 30·6) |
−10·9 (−13·9 to −7·8) |
| Central Asia | 19 959 (14 820 to 25 190) |
5·1 (3·8 to 6·4) |
5·1 (3·8 to 6·4) |
0·7 (−0·5 to 2·5) |
37·6 (28·0 to 47·3) |
28·2 (20·9 to 35·6) |
−14·9 (−17·1 to −13·4) |
| Southern Asia | 646 213 (483 012 to 812 162) |
5·2 (3·9 to 6·6) |
5·2 (3·9 to 6·6) |
1·1 (−0·4 to 2·4) |
44·0 (32·9 to 55·4) |
34·8 (26·0 to 43·8) |
−12·5 (−15·2 to −10·2) |
| Eastern Asia | 445 583 (332 214 to 562 201) |
4·1 (3·1 to 5·1) |
4·5 (3·3 to 5·7) |
3·1 (1·5 to 4·4) |
26·9 (20·3 to 33·6) |
30·7 (22·8 to 38·9) |
6·2 (4·7 to 7·2) |
| Oceania | 6917 (2171 to 11 778) |
2·9 (0·7 to 5·2) |
3·6 (1·2 to 6·1) |
8·7 (6·1 to 11·6) |
21·1 (5·4 to 37·3) |
21·5 (7·3 to 36·2) |
−4·4 (−9·5 to 1·9) |
| Australia and New Zealand | 6184 (2478 to 9980) |
3·4 (1·3 to 5·4) |
4·3 (1·7 to 6·9) |
7·3 (4·3 to 10·4) |
22·7 (9·1 to 36·6) |
26·3 (10·6 to 42·4) |
0·7 (−3·7 to 6·7) |
| Other regions in Oceania | 733 (−308 to 1798) |
1·8 (−0·8 to 4·4) |
1·3 (−0·6 to 3·3) |
−5·8 (−18·4 to 5·6) |
15·9 (−6·9 to 39·6) |
6·9 (−2·9 to 17·0) |
−37·4 (−52·5 to −23·9) |
All regions in the table are defined according to UN Statistics Division (M49) regional groupings. Other regions in Oceania are defined as all areas outside Australia and New Zealand in Oceania. Corresponding scatter plots from 2000 and 2019 are shown in the appendix (pp 17–20).
*
Percentage change per decade was estimated based on a linear regression model considering a Gaussian distribution of percentage excess and excess death rate on the log scale. The 95% CI of percentage change per decade was obtained based on 1000 bootstrap replicates.