Table A8.1:
Cross-Sectional Models: Recent Unemployment & Mortality Risk Index
| Dependent = Recently Unemployed | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| April - Mean = 0.126 | May - Mean = 0.112 | |||||||||
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| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| Face-to-Face | 0.016*** | 0.016*** | 0.016*** | 0.017 | 0.016*** | 0.016*** | 0.016*** | −0.003 | ||
| (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.011) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.015) | |||
| Remote Work | −0.056*** | −0.056*** | −0.056*** | −0.005 | −0.045*** | −0.045*** | −0.045*** | 0.020 | ||
| (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.021) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.017) | |||
| Essential | −0.089*** | −0.089*** | −0.088*** | −0.078* | −0.073*** | −0.073*** | −0.072*** | −0.056* | ||
| (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.013) | (0.045) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.029) | |||
| Mortality Risk Index | −0.012*** | −0.016** | −0.016** | −0.013** | −0.005 | −0.012** | −0.012** | −0.009** | ||
| (0.004) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.003) | |||
| Risk × Face-to-Face | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | ||||
| (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | |||||
| Risk × Remote Work | 0.010*** | 0.010*** | 0.004** | 0.005*** | 0.005*** | 0.001 | ||||
| (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | |||||
| Risk × Essential | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.005 | 0.010** | 0.010** | 0.009** | ||||
| (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.004) | |||||
| Ln(cases) × Face-to-Face | −0.000 | −0.000 | 0.002 | 0.002 | ||||||
| (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | |||||||
| Ln(cases) × Remote | −0.005*** | −0.005** | −0.006*** | −0.005*** | ||||||
| (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.001) | |||||||
| Ln(cases) × Essential | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.002 | −0.003 | ||||||
| (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |||||||
| FemxChild-U6 | −0.003 | −0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | −0.010 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.002 | −0.004 |
| (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.011) | (0.010) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.016) | (0.013) | |
| Child under 6 | −0.009 | −0.009 | −0.009 | −0.009 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.009 |
| (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.007) | |
| Female | 0.035*** | 0.030*** | 0.031*** | 0.030*** | 0.008* | 0.030*** | 0.028*** | 0.029*** | 0.028*** | 0.008 |
| (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.005) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.006) | |
| Black | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.010 | 0.018* | 0.018* | 0.018* | 0.018* | 0.023*** |
| (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
| Hispanic | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.011 | 0.015* | 0.015* | 0.015* | 0.014 | 0.012* |
| (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.007) | |
| Age | −1.185*** | −1.409*** | −1.344*** | −1.351*** | −0.925*** | −1.091*** | −1.188*** | −1.162*** | −1.167*** | −0.704*** |
| (0.167) | (0.206) | (0.200) | (0.199) | (0.111) | (0.185) | (0.235) | (0.231) | (0.230) | (0.156) | |
| Age2 | 1.273*** | 1.619*** | 1.537*** | 1.544*** | 1.091*** | 1.162*** | 1.311*** | 1.280*** | 1.284*** | 0.789*** |
| (0.181) | (0.246) | (0.239) | (0.238) | (0.145) | (0.206) | (0.285) | (0.280) | (0.280) | (0.190) | |
| HS | −0.003 | −0.002 | −0.003 | −0.003 | 0.001 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.013 |
| (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.011) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.009) | |
| Some College | 0.000 | 0.001 | −0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | −0.005 | −0.005 | −0.005 | −0.005 | −0.010 |
| (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.010) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.009) | |
| BA Degree | −0.044*** | −0.043*** | −0.043*** | −0.043*** | −0.021** | −0.046*** | −0.045*** | −0.046*** | −0.045*** | −0.035*** |
| (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.010) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.011) | |
| Postgraduate Degree | −0.079*** | −0.078*** | −0.079*** | −0.078*** | −0.031** | −0.079*** | −0.079*** | −0.079*** | −0.078*** | −0.046*** |
| (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.013) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.011) | |
| Metropolitan | −0.030*** | −0.030*** | −0.030*** | −0.029*** | −0.012* | −0.029*** | −0.029*** | −0.029*** | −0.028*** | −0.013** |
| (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.006) | |
| Constant | 0.484*** | 0.513*** | 0.501*** | 0.502*** | 0.331*** | 0.439*** | 0.452*** | 0.446*** | 0.446*** | 0.306*** |
| (0.043) | (0.048) | (0.047) | (0.047) | (0.046) | (0.045) | (0.051) | (0.050) | (0.050) | (0.044) | |
|
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| State f.e. | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Occupation & Industries f.e. | X | X | ||||||||
|
| ||||||||||
| Observations | 43754 | 43754 | 43754 | 43754 | 43754 | 42432 | 42432 | 42432 | 42432 | 42432 |
| R 2 | 0.079 | 0.079 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.196 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.173 |
Notes: Coefficients for Equation 1 using April 2020 CPS Data for individuals on the labor force and with recent unemployment as dependent variable. Column (1) includes socio-demographic and job tasks’ characteristics. Column (2) adds COVID-19 mortality factor (Risk) and state COVID-19 exposure. Column (3) and (4) interacts the risk factor and states’ COVID-19 exposure with occupation characteristics. Finally, (5) adds states, occupation and industries fixed effects. Standard errors from multi-way clustering at the state and occupation level in parentheses. Statistical significance level:
*
p<0.1;
**
p<0.05;
***
p<0.01