Table 2.
Projected cumulative adverse mental health events between March 2020 and March 2026, comparing a no-pandemic scenario against baseline with COVID-19. Event numbers are rounded to the nearest integer.
| No COVID-19 | COVID-19 Baseline |
Change | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria (all ages) | ||||
| Suicide deaths | 4361 | 4578 | 217 | 4.98% |
| Intentional self-harm hospitalisations | 35,468 | 37,528 | 2060 | 5.81% |
| Mental-health-related ED presentations | 358,580 | 365,060 | 6480 | 1.81% |
| Population aged 15–24 years | ||||
| Suicide deaths | 559 | 602 | 43 | 7.69% |
| Intentional self-harm hospitalisations | 10,782 | 11,611 | 829 | 7.69% |
| Mental-health-related ED presentations | 75,226 | 77,012 | 1786 | 2.37% |
| Major cities areas of Victoria | ||||
| Suicide deaths | 3070 | 3231 | 161 | 5.24% |
| Intentional self-harm hospitalisations | 24,878 | 26,406 | 1528 | 6.14% |
| Mental-health-related ED presentations | 246,643 | 251,965 | 5322 | 2.16% |
| Regional and remote areas of Victoria | ||||
| Suicide deaths | 1290 | 1347 | 57 | 4.42% |
| Intentional self-harm hospitalisations | 10,590 | 11,123 | 533 | 5.03% |
| Mental-health-related ED presentations | 111,937 | 113,096 | 1159 | 1.04% |