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. 2022 Jun 9;7(3):333–345. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.06.002

Table 4.

Summary of key information from simulating scenarios. The table column (Global) Max Infected also records the date at which the largest number of infected individuals occurs. Row 1 summarizes our baseline simulation as seen in Fig. 3. Scenarios 1–4 summarize the simulations shown in Fig. 5, continuing the parameters to the end from the first, second, third, and fourth changes. The information found in Scenarios 5–8 was obtained by holding parameters from each given group constant for the duration of the simulation.

Scenario Max Infected (date) Cumulative Confirmed Cases Total in Hospital 1st Hospital Peak (date) 2nd Hospital Peak (date)
Baseline simulation using estimated parameters

Baseline 70,322 (7/16/20) 474,648 257,670 16,123 (7/20/20) 14,922 (1/8/21)

Summarizing simulations inFig. 5

1 1,402,803 (9/18/20) 6,906,308 3,822,977 385,847 (9/22/20) N/A

2 70,323 (7/16/20) 226,514 125,276 16,123 (7/19/20) N/A

3 836,901 (3/18/21) 2,823,107 1,557,400 16,123 (7/20/20) 1,118,056 (3/25/21)

4 70,323 (7/16/20) 416,728 230,551 16,123 (7/20/20) 14,922 (1/8/21)

Fixing parameters from a given section for duration

5 456 (3/30/20) 724 287 N/A N/A

6 937,647 (10/23/20) 2,804,247 1,552,217 125,081 (10/30/20) N/A

7 456 (3/30/20) 750 300 N/A N/A

8 837,389 (11/14/20) 5,302,811 2,935,303 214,753 (11/19/20) N/A