Table 2. Description of the parameters of the malaria transmission model.
Parameter | Description | Prior ranges | Unit | Reference |
---|---|---|---|---|
μ BS † | Birth rate | (57*365)-1 | day-1 | Census |
δ † | Death rate | (53*365)-1 | day-1 | Census |
μ EI ‡ | Duration of parasite incubation | 7–14 | day | Lit[45] |
μ TS † | Duration of treatment + prophylaxis | 30 | day | Lit[78–83] |
μ IR † | Duration of untreated infection | 5 | day | Lit[84–87] |
fT† | Proportion of infected receiving full treatment | 0.5 | - | Lit[74] |
μ RS ‡ | Duration of patent/sub-patent period | 120–365 | day | Lit[43,49,88–90] |
PMH† | Probability of transmission from mosquito to human | 0.5 | - | Lit[50,91] |
PHM† | Probability of transmission from human to mosquito | 0.125 | - | Lit[76,92,93] |
qR‡ | Infectivity of non-clinical cases relative to clinical cases | 0–0.5 * (PHM) | - | Lit[46–48] |
ε† | Number of eggs laid per gonotrophic cycle | 50 | - | Lit[94–96] |
μ M † | Daily adult mortality rate | -ln 0.98 | - | - |
a.R‡ | Egg-adult sensitivity to surface moisture | 0–1 | - | See supplement |
b.R‡ | Mean anomaly of accumulated rainfall | -5–5 | - | See supplement |
D‡ | Length of accumulated rainfall contributing to mosquito breeding | 7–200 | day | Lit[20, 72, 97, 98] |
s‡ | Population scaling factor | 0–1 | - | - |
† Indicates model parameter values that are fixed based on literature or demographic data, whereas
‡ indicates parameter values that are inferred from model fitting of observed data.