Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Blue line is the model simulation and red dashed curve is the number provided by Covidtracking. The model input is the total number of active cases at time t = 0 (May 22, 2020), 3895. The final number of cases of the model is 49, 085, about 6% above the reported number, 46, 275. We assumed the basic reproductive rate R0 = 1.9 to be constant throughout the whole inspected time.
