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. 2020 Dec 14;69:253–264. doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.12.010

Table 4.

The impact of the reduction in the VAT rate from 17% to 13% on the output of 42 industries (Change elasticity, unit: 100 million yuan).

Industry Original value Tax reduction Rate of rise Pandemic + tax reduction Rate of rise
Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products and services 110 119.82 111 881.70 1.60% 101 003.36 −8.28%
Coal mining and processing 21 946.98 22 392.56 2.03% 20 893.38 −4.80%
Oil and gas exploration 11 668.95 11 747.87 0.68% 11 063.95 −5.18%
Metal mining and dressing 11 627.57 11 825.97 1.71% 11 098.32 −4.55%
Mining and dressing of nonmetallic and other minerals 9004.62 9133.13 1.43% 8601.03 −4.48%
Food and tobacco 126 235.04 128 346.92 1.67% 115 489.10 −8.51%
Textile 37 840.04 38 716.87 2.32% 36 121.44 −4.54%
Clothing, Shoes, Hats, Leather, Eiderdown and its products 37 733.23 38 359.04 1.66% 35 336.00 −6.35%
Wood products and furniture 25 620.70 25 977.37 1.39% 24 444.70 −4.59%
Paper making, printing and sports goods 39 356.98 40 102.86 1.90% 37 227.76 −5.41%
Petroleum, Coking products and Nuclear fuel 37 647.91 38 352.48 1.87% 35 753.17 −5.03%
Chemical products 149 035.93 151 647.53 1.75% 141 434.28 −5.10%
Nonmetallic mineral products 64 931.72 65 471.84 0.83% 61 975.53 −4.55%
Metal smelting and rolling 104 592.24 105 990.33 1.34% 99 563.54 −4.81%
Metal products 42 914.21 43 415.48 1.17% 40 756.71 −5.03%
General equipment 45 155.86 45 543.29 0.86% 42 715.83 −5.40%
Specialized equipment 34 923.44 35 124.46 0.58% 33 160.78 −5.05%
Transportation equipment 86 686.14 87 617.07 1.07% 81 752.68 −5.69%
Electrical machinery and equipment 60 271.17 60 728.38 0.76% 56 383.99 −6.45%
Communication equipment, computers and other electronic equipment 96 258.04 96 530.53 0.28% 89 639.50 −6.88%
Instrumentation 8516.05 8616.50 1.18% 8100.09 −4.88%
Other manufacture 3743.44 3790.66 1.26% 3534.17 −5.59%
Waste and scrap 6612.79 6659.49 0.71% 6315.52 −4.50%
Metal products, machinery and equipment repair services 1490.22 1511.57 1.43% 1417.65 −4.87%
Production and supply of electricity and heat 55 563.35 56 619.01 1.90% 52 728.31 −5.10%
Gas production and supply 5421.64 5522.12 1.85% 5054.61 −6.77%
Hydraulic production and supply 2491.01 2523.48 1.30% 2312.47 −7.17%
Construction 228 786.24 228 852.12 0.03% 217 404.08 −4.98%
Wholesale and retail 115 842.43 118 075.42 1.93% 109 355.15 −5.60%
Transport, storage and post 102 548.32 104 202.03 1.61% 96 965.35 −5.44%
Accommodation and catering 38 084.09 38 434.15 0.92% 35 347.84 −7.18%
Information transmission, software and information technology services 56 539.23 56 972.69 0.77% 53 329.73 −5.68%
Financial industry 94 346.62 95 558.52 1.28% 88 393.51 −6.31%
Real estate 78 295.67 78 940.17 0.82% 72 734.53 −7.10%
Leasing and business services 71 793.41 73 023.95 1.71% 67 955.02 −5.35%
Scientific research and technical services 51 056.83 51 228.15 0.34% 48 953.25 −4.12%
Water conservancy, environment and public facilities management 9258.49 9227.67 −0.33% 8985.17 −2.95%
Residential services, repairs and other service departments 26 962.48 27 207.69 0.91% 24 838.05 −7.88%
Education 36 794.95 36 523.32 −0.74% 34 435.40 −6.41%
Health and social work 41 531.85 41 403.13 −0.31% 39 535.45 −4.81%
Culture, sports and entertainment 13 720.90 13 726.65 0.04% 12 865.51 −6.23%
Public administration, social security and social organizations 55 604.93 54 794.28 −1.46% 54 116.89 −2.68%