Table 2.
Effectiveness of the Vaccine in Preventing Severe COVID-19 Outcomes stratified according to different risk factors.
Risk factor | Hospitalization | Critical care admission | Death | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Effectiveness (%) (95% CI) | p value | Effectiveness (%) (95% CI) | p value | Effectiveness (%) (95% CI) | p value | |
Months | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||
Oct–Dec 2020 (wild-type virus) | 97.5 (95.9, 98.4) | 98.8 (95.3, 99.7) | 100 (100, 100) | |||
Jan–April 202 (alpha variant) | 75.9 (73.4, 78.1) | 81.2 (75.6, 85.5) | 81.9 (66.8, 90.1) | |||
May–July 2021 (delta variant) | 41.8 (22.9, 56.0) | 60.1 (9.4, 82.4) | 62.7 (31.7, 79.6) | |||
Comorbidity | <0.001 | 0.004 | <0.001 | |||
Without any comorbidity | 68.7 (63.9, 72.9) | 76.4 (64.5, 84.3) | 60.7 (12.2, 82.4) | |||
With one or more comorbidities | 83.5 (81.6, 85.3) | 88.7 (84.8, 91.6) | 97.1 (93.5, 98.7) | |||
Ethnicity | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.51 | |||
Arab | 79.3 (77.1, 81.3) | 85.5 (80.8, 89.1) | 85.6 (71.1, 92.8) | |||
Non-Arab | 80.4 (76.7, 83.6) | 87.1 (79.9, 91.7) | 76.9 (20.5, 93.3) | |||
Age group | <0.001 | 0.61 | 0.24 | |||
≤60 years | 84.7 (82.7, 86.4) | 86.7 (81.8, 90.3) | 92.3 (67.2, 98.2) | |||
>60 years | 68.4 (63.9, 72.3) | 85 (78.3, 89.6) | 80.1 (61.1, 89.8) | |||
Gender | 0.0003 | 0.0155 | 0.24 | |||
Female | 82.3 (80, 84.3) | 80.8 (73.1, 86.2) | 77 (47.9, 89.8) | |||
Male | 75.5 (72.2, 78.5) | 89.3 (85, 92.5) | 88.9 (72.1, 95.6) |
P values shown are for testing the interaction between each risk factor and vaccine status. Only statistically significant interactions (shown in bold) can be interpreted as significant subgroup differences. P < 0.05 are considered statistically significant.
P values were calculated using two-sided tests with no adjustment for multiple comparisons, and were computed using the Wald test on the interaction term in the Cox proportional hazard model. Non-Arab population includes Asian and other ethnicity groups as listed in Supplementary Table 11. CI Confidence Interval.