Table 2.
Posterior Means and Standard Deviations (SD) of Coefficients for Case Study 1 (Single-Level Model).
Cycle | Method | Intercept | FEMALE | PARED | HOMEPOS | IMMIG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | Mean | SD | Mean | SD | Mean | SD | Mean | SD | ||
2003 | BLR non inf | 416.89 | 6.74 | 9.49 | 2.24 | 3.62 | 0.49 | 33.54 | 1.23 | 12.08 | 3.52 |
2006 | BLR non inf | 387.85 | 6.88 | 12.86 | 2.20 | 6.61 | 0.49 | 25.91 | 1.22 | 8.04 | 3.15 |
2009 | BLR non inf | 417.92 | 6.88 | 17.22 | 2.29 | 5.17 | 0.51 | 27.71 | 1.27 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
2012 | BLR non inf | 408.43 | 6.90 | 8.58 | 2.34 | 5.62 | 0.52 | 21.17 | 1.17 | 5.65 | 3.12 |
2015 | BLR non inf | 405.80 | 5.93 | 8.87 | 2.19 | 4.72 | 0.46 | 19.61 | 1.07 | 0.23 | 2.78 |
2018 | BLR non inf | 426.29 | 7.64 | 7.21 | 2.42 | 4.68 | 0.54 | 25.02 | 1.14 | 18.29 | 3.15 |
BLR inf | 419.55 | 5.13 | 9.51 | 1.68 | 4.66 | 0.35 | 25.14 | 0.79 | 7.75 | 2.12 | |
BLR pooling | 411.46 | 2.78 | 10.57 | 0.96 | 5.00 | 0.21 | 25.00 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 1.25 | |
BDB IG(1,1) | 426.52 | 7.40 | 7.24 | 2.36 | 4.66 | 0.53 | 25.03 | 1.11 | 18.22 | 3.07 | |
BDB IG(1,.1) | 426.23 | 7.24 | 7.11 | 2.39 | 4.67 | 0.51 | 25.01 | 1.11 | 18.09 | 3.05 | |
BDB IG(1,.001) | 425.41 | 6.58 | 8.05 | 2.15 | 4.68 | 0.46 | 25.03 | 1.08 | 16.62 | 3.04 | |
PP (.25) | 416.67 | 4.55 | 9.51 | 1.56 | 4.87 | 0.33 | 25.15 | 0.77 | 5.74 | 2.04 | |
PP (.50) | 413.72 | 3.71 | 10.10 | 1.25 | 4.94 | 0.27 | 25.07 | 0.63 | 2.20 | 1.63 | |
PP (.75) | 412.12 | 3.14 | 10.37 | 1.08 | 4.99 | 0.23 | 25.02 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 1.45 |
BLR non inf: Bayesian linear regression with non-informative prior; BLR inf: Bayesian linear regression with informative prior; BDB: Bayesian dynamic borrowing; IG: inverse-gamma prior for the variance of the joint prior distribution, which determines the degree of borrowing; PP: power prior.