Table 3.
Absolute risk difference (per 1000 population over 10 years) of cardiovascular disease by the baseline, mean, and variability of TyG index
| Predicted incidence per 1000 population over 10 yearsa | Absolute risk difference per 1000 population over 10 yearsb | |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline TyG index | ||
| Tertile 1 | 51.2 (47.0 to 55.8) | Reference |
| Tertile 2 | 62.0 (57.9 to 66.3) | 10.7 (4.8 to 16.7) |
| Tertile 3 | 76.6 (67.3 to 87.1) | 25.3 (12.0 to 38.6) |
| Mean TyG index | ||
| Tertile 1 | 48.5 (44.4 to 53.0) | Reference |
| Tertile 2 | 60.5 (56.5 to 64.9) | 12.0 (6.2 to 17.8) |
| Tertile 3 | 82.8 (72.8 to 94.3) | 34.3 (20.2 to 48.3) |
| TyG index variability | ||
| Tertile 1 | 56.6 (52.8 to 60.8) | Reference |
| Tertile 2 | 58.7 (54.7 to 62.9) | 2.1 (− 3.6 to 7.7) |
| Tertile 3 | 63.0 (68.9 to 67.3) | 6.3 (0.6 to 12.1) |
TyG: triglyceride-glucose
aCalculated as CIFt=10 × 1000, where the predicted 10-year CIF (cumulative incidence function) of CVD was estimated from the flexible parametric survival models, which was standardized to the baseline variable (covariates in Model 3 for baseline and mean TyG index, and covariates in Model 4 for TyG index variability)
bCalculated as the difference between the predicted incidence per 1000 population over 10 years across the baseline, mean, and variability of TyG index tertiles