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. 2022 Jun 11;29(52):78345–78360. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21297-5

Table 2.

Literature on forecast of carbon emissions from power industry

Authors Country/region Time period Methods Scenarios
Yu et al. (2020) China 2020–2050 TIMES (The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System) model The reference (REF) scenario, the structural emission reduction (SER) scenario, the technical emission reduction (TER) scenario, and the co-control (COC) scenario
Lin and Jia (2020) China 2020–2030 Dynamic recursive CGE (Computable General Equilibrium) model Two benchmark scenarios and six counter-measured scenarios
Tang et al. (2018) China 2015–2050 National Energy Technology-Power model Business as usual scenario, advanced technology scenario, Renewable energy development scenario, the combined scenario
Zhou et al. (2017) Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China 2015–2020 IPSO-BP (improved particle swarm optimization back propagation) Low-speed scenario, policy scenario, high-speed scenario
Ma et al. (2017) China 2014–2020 A novel hybrid model, combining the grey model, weakening buffer operator, and firefly algorithm, called FGM (1,1,4) No
Huang et al. (2017) China 2010–2050 China TIMES model A reference scenario, two CO2 mitigation scenarios, two water cost scenarios and four combinations of carbon and water scenarios
Tang et al. (2017) China 2016–2030 Optimal production planning model Business as usual scenario, high-speed scenario, and medium-speed scenario
Cheng et al. (2016) Guangdong, China 2010–2020 Two-region dynamic CGE model Seven scenarios
Khanna et al. (2016) China 2015–2050 China energy end-use model No CCS scenario, base CCS policy scenario, accelerated CCS policy scenario, baseline coal-fired efficiency scenario, accelerated coal-fired efficiency scenario
Sun et al. (2016) China 2016–2020 STIRPAT (Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology) model 15 scenarios
Xu and Ma (2015) China 2015–2030 Grey-Markov model No
Wang et al. (2014) China 2010–2030 Bottom-up optimization model for China’s electricity sector NC scenario, LC scenario, OC scenario, AC scenario, SQ scenario, AD scenario
Zhang et al. (2012) China 2010–2050 A multi-period modeling and optimization framework Base scenario and peak scenario
Zhang et al. (2007) China 2000–2030 LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning) China Baseline scenario, recent policy scenario, new policy scenario