Table 3.
Certified deaths by cause of death in Australia from 1 January 2020 to 29 December 2020
| Cause | Expected deathsa | Observed deathsa | Absolute reductions | Ratio (95% CI) | Amplitude (2015-19) | Amplitude (2020) | Ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total respiratory | 15 207 | 12 055 | 3152 | 0.79 (0.76, 0.83) | 1.29 | 1.05 | 0.78 (0.74, 0.83) |
| Influenza and pneumonia | 3848 | 2122 | 1698 | 0.56 (0.51, 0.61) | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.78 (0.68, 0.91) |
| Pneumonia | 2903 | 2105 | 798 | 0.73 (0.69, 0.77) | 1.33 | 1.23 | 0.91 (0.84, 0.98) |
| Chronic respiratory | 7726 | 6704 | 1022 | 0.87 (0.84, 0.90) | 1.24 | 1.00 | 0.79 (0.75, 0.83) |
| Cancer | 48 219 | 47 800 | 419 | 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) | 1.01 | 1.00 | 1.0 (NAb) |
| Ischaemic heart disease | 13 577 | 13 513 | 64 | 1.00 (0.97, 1.02) | 1.15 | 1.09 | 0.95 (0.92, 0.97) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 8992 | 8971 | 21 | 1.00 (0.97, 1.02) | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.0 (NAb) |
| Dementia | 15 172 | 14 463 | 709 | 0.95 (0.93, 0.98) | 1.14 | 1.05 | 0.92 (0.89, 0.95) |
| Diabetes | 4523 | 4906 | −383 | 1.08 (1.04, 1.13) | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.0 (NAb) |
| All causesc | 105 463 | 101 708 | 3755 | 0.96 (0.95, 0.98) | 1.10 | 1.03 | 0.94 (0.92, 0.95) |
NA, not available.
a
Through to 29 December 2020.
b
Fitted model contained no seasonal interaction.
c
Influenza and pneumonia, Pneumonia and Chronic Respiratory are included in Total Respiratory counts. All causes also include COVID-19 deaths.