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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Med Decis Making. 2022 Mar 21;42(5):557–570. doi: 10.1177/0272989X221085569

Table 2.

Multidimensional Calibration Example Results

Race Sex Months to Death Post Diagnosis Target Original Model Predictions (Mean) ABC Rejection (ε = 2) Calibrated Model Predictions (Mean, 90% Credible Interval) ABC MCMC (h = 0.5) Calibrated Model Predictions (Mean, 90% Credible Interval)

White Men
25–36 Months 3.90 0.48 2.69 [1.68, 4.01] 2.92 [2.08, 3.86]
37–48 Months 5.43 1.15 4.88 [3.34, 6.88] 5.14 [3.86, 6.52]
49–60 Months 6.74 1.75 7.33 [5.13, 9.75] 7.48 [5.77, 9.11]
61–72 Months 8.47 2.65 9.75 [6.85, 12.94] 9.71 [7.59, 11.85]
Women
25–36 Months 5.04 0.52 3.32 [2.15, 4.71] 3.60 [2.62, 4.72]
37–48 Months 7.24 1.11 5.85 [4.24, 7.90] 6.11 [4.65, 7.54]
49–60 Months 9.81 1.93 8.70 [6.39, 11.22] 8.80 [6.87, 10.66]
61–72 Months 12.64 2.96 12.17 [8.96, 15.55] 12.01 [9.59, 14.51]
Black Men
25–36 Months 4.79 0.24 2.78 [1.72, 4.22] 3.07 [2.08, 4.08]
37–48 Months 6.16 0.54 4.71 [3.17, 6.76] 5.03 [3.67, 6.40]
49–60 Months 8.61 0.83 7.28 [5.06, 9.82] 7.56 [5.65, 9.46]
61–72 Months 10.29 1.36 10.56 [7.38, 13.86] 10.65 [8.10, 13.19]
Women
25–36 Months 4.34 0.28 3.58 [2.36, 5.06] 3.87 [2.81, 4.92]
37–48 Months 6.85 0.51 6.02 [4.31, 8.06] 6.31 [4.91, 7.80]
49–60 Months 9.04 1.03 8.90 [6.51, 11.46] 9.03 [7.16, 11.03]
61–72 Months 11.31 1.46 12.59 [9.20, 16.01] 12.45 [10.19, 15.01]
Other Men
25–36 Months 3.42 0.24 2.05 [1.15, 3.36] 2.34 [1.54, 3.20]
37–48 Months 5.20 0.62 3.48 [2.14, 5.28] 3.87 [2.70, 5.08]
49–60 Months 6.59 1.15 5.54 [3.51, 8.01] 5.88 [4.18, 7.57]
61–72 Months 7.14 1.46 7.87 [4.86, 11.16] 8.14 [5.86, 10.46]
Women
25–36 Months 3.40 0.39 2.54 [1.51, 3.86] 2.86 [1.95, 3.84]
37–48 Months 4.83 0.62 4.43 [2.85, 6.33] 4.80 [3.30, 6.27]
49–60 Months 6.74 1.11 6.48 [4.28, 9.09] 6.78 [4.81, 8.63]
61–72 Months 8.64 1.61 8.79 [5.73, 12.14] 9.00 [6.42, 11.52]