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. 2022 May 31;10(5):e35293. doi: 10.2196/35293

Table 3.

Information on the MLa prediction model development, validation, and performance, and on the severity of illness score performance.

Author ML model type (AUROCb test) Data training/test (split %) Features K-fold/validation External validation data set ML AUROC external Severity of illness score model type (AUROC)
Pirracchio et al, 2015 [1]
  • Ensemble SICULAc (0.85)

24,508 17 5-fold cross-validation 200 0.94
  • SAPSd-II (0.78)

  • APACHEe-II (0.83)

  • SOFf (0.71)

Nielsen et al, 2019 [24]
  • NNg (0.792)

10,368
(80/20)
44 5-fold cross-validation 1528 0.773
  • SAPS-II (0.74)

  • APACHE-II (0.72)

Nimgaonkar et al, 2004 [25]
  • NN (0.88)

2962
(70/30)
15 N/Ah N/A N/A
  • APACHE-II (0.77)

Xia et al, 2019 [26]
  • Ensemble-LSTMi (0.85)

  • LSTM (0.83)

  • DTj (0.82)

18,415
(90/10)
50 Bootstrap and RSMk N/A N/A
  • SAPS-II (0.77)

  • SOFA (0.73)

  • APACHE-II (0.74)

Purushotham et al, 2018 [27]
  • NN (0.87)

  • Ensemble (0.84)

35,627 17/22/
136
5-fold cross-validation External benchmark N/A
  • SAPS-II (0.80)

  • SOFA (0.73)

Nanayakkara et al, 2018 [28]
  • DT (0.86)

  • SVMl (0.86)

  • NN (0.85)

  • Ensemble (0.87)

  • GBMm (0.87)

39,560
(90/10)
29 5-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • APACHE-III (0.8)

Meyer et al, 2018 [29]
  • NN (0.95)

5898
(90/10)
52 10-fold cross-validation 5989 0.81
  • SAPS-II (0.71)

Meiring et al, 2018 [7]
  • DT (0.85)

  • NN (0.86)

  • SVM (0.86)

80/20 25 21,911
LOOn
N/A N/A
  • APACHE-II (0.83)

Lin et al, 2019
[30]
  • DT (0.86)

  • NN (0.83)

  • SVM (0.86)

19,044 15 5-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SAPS-II (0.79)

Krishnan et al, 2018 [31]
  • NN-ELMo (0.99)

10,155
(75/25)
1 10-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SAPS (0.80)

  • SOFA (0.73)

  • APSp-III (0.79)

Kang et al, 2020 [32]
  • SVM (0.77)

  • DT (0.78)

  • NN (0.776)

  • k-NNq (0.76)

1571
(70/30)
33 10-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SOFA (0.66)

  • APACHE-II (0.59)

Johnson et al, 2013 [33]
  • LRr univariate (0.902)

  • LR multivariate (0.876)

39,070
(80/20)
10 10-fold cross-validation 23,618 0.837 (univariate); 0.868 (multivariate)
  • APS-III (0.86)

Holmgren et al, 2019 [34]
  • NN (0.89)

217,289
(80/20)
8 5-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SAPS-III (0.85)

Garcia-Gallo et al, 2020 [35]
  • SGB-LASSOs (0.803)

5650
(70/30)
18
140
37
10-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SOFA (0.58)

  • SAPS (0.70)

El-Rashidy et al, 2020 [36]
  • Ensemble (0.93)

10,664
(75/25)
80 10-fold cross-validation External benchmark N/A
  • APACHE-II (0.73)

  • SAPS-II (0.81)

  • SOFA-II (0.78)

Silva et al, 2006 [37]
  • NN (0.85)

13,164
(66/33)
12 Hold out N/A N/A
  • SAPS- II (0.8)

Caicedo-Torres et al, 2019 [38]
  • NN (0.87)

22,413 22 5-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • SAPS-II (0.73)

Deshmukh et al, 2020 [39]
  • XGBt (0.85)

5691
(80/20)
34 5-fold cross-validation N/A N/A
  • APACHE-IV (0.8)

Ryan et al, 2020 [40]
  • DT (0.86)

35,061
(80/20)
12 5-fold cross-validation 114 0.91
  • qSOFAu (0.76)

Mayaud et al, 2013 [41]
  • GAv+LR (0.82)

2113
(70/30)
25 BBCCVw N/A N/A
  • APACHE-III (0.68)

aML: machine learning.

bAUROC: area under the receiver operating curve.

cSICULA: Super ICU Learner Algorithm.

dSAPS: Simplified Acute Physiology Score.

eAPACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation.

fSOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.

gNN: neural network.

hN/A: not applicable.

iLSTM: long short-term memory.

jDT: decision tree.

kRSM: random subspace method.

lSVM: support vector machine.

mGBM: gradient boosting machine.

nLOO: leave one out.

oELM: extreme learning machine.

pAPS: Acute Physiology Score.

qk-NN: k-nearest neighbor.

rLR: logistic regression.

sSGB-LASSO: stochastic gradient boosting least absolute shrinkage and selection operator.

tXGB: extreme gradient boosting.

uqSOFA: Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.

vGA: genetic algorithm.

wBBCV: bootstrap bias–corrected cross-validation.