Table 3.
Comparisons between the predictive power of the new developed risk estimate models versus APACHE-II, SAPS-II, SOFA and MOSAIC scores in the complete case CRRT population.
| ICU mortality | Hospital mortality | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction model | AUC | Contrast estimate (95% CL) | P-value | Prediction model | AUC | Contrast estimate (95% CL) | P-value |
| CRRT patients n = 462 | |||||||
| ICU admission model | 0.79 | ICU admission model | 0.76 | ||||
| SOFA admission | 0.57 | − 0.22 (− 0.29 to − 0.16) | < 0.0001 | SOFA admission | 0.57 | − 0.18 (− 0.25 to − 0.12) | < 0.0001 |
| APACHE-II admission | 0.62 | − 0.17 (− 0.23 to − 0.11) | < 0.0001 | APACHE-II admission | 0.60 | − 0.15 (− 0.22 to − 0.09) | < 0.0001 |
| SAPS-II admission | 0.65 | − 0.14 (− 0.20 to − 0.09) | < 0.0001 | SAPS-II admission | 0.65 | − 0.11 (− 0.16 to − 0.06) | < 0.0001 |
| CRRT patients n = 408 | |||||||
| The MALEDICT RRT initiation model | 0.82 | The MALEDICT RRT initiation model | 0.78 | ||||
| SOFA RRT initiation | 0.69 | − 0.13 (− 0.19 to − 0.06) | 0.0001 | SOFA RRT initiation | 0.67 | − 0.11 (− 0.17 to − 0.05) | 0.0003 |
| APACHE-II RRT initiation | 0.68 | − 0.14 (− 0.19 to − 0.08) | < 0.0001 | APACHE-II RRT initiation | 0.68 | − 0.10 (− 0.16 to − 0.05) | 0.0004 |
| SAPS-II RRT initiation | 0.63 | − 0.19 (− 0.26 to − 0.12) | < 0.0001 | SAPS-II RRT initiation | 0.61 | − 0.17 (− 0.24 to − 0.10) | < 0.0001 |
| MOSAIC RRT initiation | 0.69 | − 0.13 (− 0.19 to − 0.07) | < 0.0001 | MOSAIC RRT initiation | 0.63 | − 0.15 (− 0.21 to − 0.09) | < 0.0001 |
| IHD patients n = 193 | |||||||
| The best IHD ICU Admission model | 0.82 | 0.81 | |||||
| The best IHD initiation model | 0.80 | 0.81 | |||||
| The CRRT ICU Admission model | 0.78 | 0.80 | |||||
| The MALEDICT RRT initiation model | 0.74 | 0.77 | |||||
Values for the ICU admission and RRT initiation models and comparisons between prediction models are mean values for 25 multiple imputations.
CL confidence limit, ICU intensive care unit, SOFA-score Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, APACHE Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, SAPS Simplified Acute Physiology II score, CRRT continuous renal replacement therapy, RRT renal replacement therapy.
Significant values are in bold.