Table 5.
Attribute | Level | Rule of six indoors and outdoors | Second national lockdown | Third national lockdown | Rule of six outdoors, no indoor mixing | Rule of six indoors, up to 30 people outdoors | No legal restrictions | No legal obligation to self-isolate | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | aOR for engaging in highest risk social mixing (95% CI)† | p | ||
Survey wave in timepoint | Wave 1 | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Wave 2 | 0.93 (0.77 to 1.11) | 0.40 | 0.85 (0.64 to 1.12) | 0.25 | 0.82 (0.55 to 1.21) | 0.32 | 1.57 (1.24 to 1.99) | < 0.001* | 0.87 (0.73 to 1.02) | 0.09 | 1.14 (0.98 to 1.32) | 0.09 | 0.96 (0.83 to 1.10) | 0.52 | |
Wave 3 | – | – | 0.81 (0.61 to 1.08) | 0.16 | 1.25 (0.88 to 1.79) | 0.22 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.97 (0.85 to 1.12) | 0.71 | |
Overall | – | – | χ2(2) = 2.3 | 0.32 | χ2(2) = 5.0 | 0.08 | – | – | – | – | – | – | χ2(2) = 0.4 | 0.81 | |
Region | East Midlands | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
East of England | 0.93 (0.62 to 1.40) | 0.74 | 1.50 (0.91 to 2.47) | 0.11 | 0.98 (0.48 to 2.02) | 0.96 | 1.20 (0.71 to 2.02) | 0.50 | 1.09 (0.76 to 1.57) | 0.64 | 1.26 (0.90 to 1.77) | 0.17 | 1.13 (0.88 to 1.44) | 0.35 | |
London | 0.90 (0.61 to 1.34) | 0.61 | 1.02 (0.62 to 1.70) | 0.93 | 1.07 (0.55 to 2.07) | 0.84 | 1.11 (0.66 to 1.85) | 0.70 | 0.99 (0.69 to 1.44) | 0.97 | 1.14 (0.82 to 1.58) | 0.44 | 1.07 (0.84 to 1.37) | 0.56 | |
North East | 0.91 (0.55 to 1.49) | 0.70 | 0.79 (0.39 to 1.60) | 0.52 | 1.11 (0.47 to 2.63) | 0.81 | 1.28 (0.68 to 2.40) | 0.45 | 1.64 (1.07 to 2.52) | 0.02 | 1.14 (0.75 to 1.72) | 0.54 | 1.49 (1.09 to 2.02) | 0.01 | |
North West | 0.59 (0.39 to 0.89) | 0.01 | 0.85 (0.49 to 1.45) | 0.54 | 1.34 (0.69 to 2.61) | 0.39 | 0.80 (0.47 to 1.38) | 0.43 | 0.89 (0.62 to 1.29) | 0.55 | 0.94 (0.68 to 1.30) | 0.72 | 1.17 (0.92 to 1.49) | 0.19 | |
South East | 0.87 (0.60 to 1.28) | 0.49 | 1.14 (0.69 to 1.88) | 0.60 | 1.00 (0.51 to 1.97) | 1.00 | 1.62 (1.00 to 2.64) | 0.05 | 0.89 (0.63 to 1.26) | 0.51 | 1.13 (0.82 to 1.55) | 0.46 | 1.16 (0.92 to 1.46) | 0.22 | |
South West | 1.22 (0.82 to 1.82) | 0.32 | 1.03 (0.59 to 1.79) | 0.92 | 0.65 (0.28 to 1.47) | 0.30 | 1.26 (0.74 to 2.16) | 0.40 | 1.06 (0.73 to 1.54) | 0.74 | 0.98 (0.70 to 1.38) | 0.92 | 1.02 (0.79 to 1.32) | 0.86 | |
West Midlands | 0.89 (0.60 to 1.33) | 0.57 | 1.29 (0.77 to 2.16) | 0.33 | 1.38 (0.70 to 2.74) | 0.35 | 1.03 (0.60 to 1.77) | 0.91 | 1.22 (0.84 to 1.76) | 0.30 | 0.92 (0.66 to 1.30) | 0.65 | 1.18 (0.92 to 1.51) | 0.20 | |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 0.94 (0.63 to 1.40) | 0.76 | 1.15 (0.68 to 1.95) | 0.60 | 1.43 (0.73 to 2.79) | 0.30 | 1.28 (0.76 to 2.17) | 0.36 | 1.18 (0.82 to 1.71) | 0.37 | 1.13 (0.80 to 1.59) | 0.49 | 1.17 (0.91 to 1.52) | 0.22 | |
Overall | χ2(8) = 14.1 | 0.08 | χ2(8) = 8.6 | 0.38 | χ2(8) = 6.6 | 0.58 | χ2(8) = 10.8 | 0.21 | χ2(8) = 13.7 | 0.09 | χ2(8) = 6.9 | 0.54 | χ2(8) = 8.6 | 0.38 | |
Gender | Male | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Female | 1.09 (0.90 to 1.31) | 0.38 | 0.80 (0.63 to 1.01) | 0.06 | 0.58 (0.42 to 0.79) | 0.001* | 0.85 (0.67 to 1.07) | 0.17 | 1.11 (0.93 to 1.31) | 0.24 | 1.17 (1.00 to 1.36) | 0.05 | 1.44 (1.29 to 1.61) | < 0.001* | |
Age (per decade) | Raw age | 0.89 (0.83 to 0.95) | 0.001* | 0.88 (0.80 to 0.96) | 0.004* | 0.84 (0.75 to 0.94) | 0.003* | 0.86 (0.79 to 0.94) | 0.001* | 0.92 (0.86 to 0.98) | 0.01 | 0.93 (0.87 to 0.99) | 0.01 | 0.92 (0.88 to 0.96) | < 0.001* |
Age: quadratic (age–mean)2 | – | 1.0004 (1.0000 to 1.0007) | 0.03 | 1.0004 (0.9999 to 1.0008) | 0.09 | 1.0005 (0.9999 to 1.0010) | 0.09 | 1.0008 (1.0003 to 1.0012) | < 0.001* | 1.0002 (0.9999 to 1.0005) | 0.29 | 1.0001 (0.9998 to 1.0003) | 0.63 | 1.0001 (1.0000 to 1.0003) | 0.13 |
Dependent child in household | None | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Child present | 1.08 (0.87 to 1.35) | 0.49 | 1.16 (0.87 to 1.55) | 0.30 | 1.21 (0.83 to 1.77) | 0.31 | 1.16 (0.88 to 1.55) | 0.30 | 1.02 (0.83 to 1.26) | 0.85 | 0.94 (0.77 to 1.13) | 0.50 | 0.97 (0.84 to 1.12) | 0.66 | |
Chronic illness (self) | No | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Yes | 0.8 (0.65 to 1.00) | 0.05 | 0.78 (0.58 to 1.04) | 0.09 | 1.33 (0.94 to 1.89) | 0.11 | 0.88 (0.66 to 1.16) | 0.37 | 1.04 (0.86 to 1.26) | 0.70 | 0.84 (0.70 to 1.00) | 0.05 | 0.76 (0.67 to 0.87) | < 0.001* | |
Household member has chronic illness | No | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Yes | 0.86 (0.66 to 1.12) | 0.27 | 1.12 (0.81 to 1.56) | 0.50 | 0.96 (0.61 to 1.53) | 0.87 | 0.81 (0.56 to 1.16) | 0.24 | 0.98 (0.77 to 1.25) | 0.89 | 0.88 (0.70 to 1.09) | 0.23 | 1.11 (0.94 to 1.31) | 0.20 | |
Employment status | Not working | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Working | 0.96 (0.77 to 1.19) | 0.70 | 0.76 (0.58 to 1.00) | 0.05 | 1.21 (0.83 to 1.76) | 0.32 | 0.90 (0.68 to 1.19) | 0.45 | 0.90 (0.74 to 1.10) | 0.31 | 0.81 (0.67 to 0.97) | 0.03 | 0.84 (0.73 to 0.97) | 0.02 | |
Highest earner in household works in a manual occupation | No | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Yes | 1.16 (0.94 to 1.43) | 0.16 | 1.02 (0.78 to 1.33) | 0.90 | 1.17 (0.83 to 1.65) | 0.38 | 1.22 (0.94 to 1.58) | 0.14 | 0.92 (0.75 to 1.12) | 0.39 | 1.03 (0.87 to 1.23) | 0.71 | 0.95 (0.83 to 1.09) | 0.48 | |
Index of multiple deprivation | 1st (least) to 4th quartile (most deprived) | 1.04 (0.95 to 1.13) | 0.43 | 1.06 (0.95 to 1.19) | 0.30 | 1.07 (0.92 to 1.24) | 0.37 | 1.14 (1.02 to 1.29) | 0.02 | 0.95 (0.88 to 1.03) | 0.20 | 0.93 (0.87 to 1.01) | 0.07 | 1.11 (1.05 to 1.18) | < 0.001* |
Highest educational or professional qualification | Less than degree | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Degree or higher | 0.98 (0.79 to 1.20) | 0.83 | 0.81 (0.62 to 1.05) | 0.11 | 1.10 (0.79 to 1.54) | 0.57 | 0.95 (0.73 to 1.24) | 0.70 | 0.99 (0.82 to 1.20) | 0.92 | 0.86 (0.73 to 1.02) | 0.09 | 0.95 (0.84 to 1.08) | 0.43 | |
Ethnicity | White British | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
White other | 1.15 (0.74 to 1.81) | 0.53 | 1.71 (1.06 to 2.78) | 0.03 | 1.09 (0.56 to 2.12) | 0.80 | 1.43 (0.87 to 2.35) | 0.15 | 1.04 (0.68 to 1.60) | 0.85 | 1.44 (0.96 to 2.14) | 0.08 | 0.94 (0.69 to 1.29) | 0.70 | |
Black and minority ethnicity | 0.82 (0.57 to 1.20) | 0.31 | 1.60 (1.09 to 2.35) | 0.02 | 1.34 (0.82 to 2.21) | 0.24 | 1.18 (0.80 to 1.73) | 0.40 | 0.82 (0.61 to 1.12) | 0.22 | 0.97 (0.73 to 1.31) | 0.86 | 0.82 (0.67 to 1.00) | 0.05 | |
Overall | χ2(2) = 1.9 | 0.39 | χ2(2) = 8.0 | 0.02 | χ2(2) = 1.4 | 0.50 | χ2(2) = 2.2 | 0.33 | χ2(2) = 1.8 | 0.41 | χ2(2) = 3.5 | 0.18 | χ2(2) = 4.0 | 0.13 | |
First language | Not English | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
English | 1.23 (0.79 to 1.91) | 0.36 | 1.23 (0.77 to 1.96) | 0.38 | 0.76 (0.43 to 1.33) | 0.33 | 1.18 (0.74 to 1.89) | 0.48 | 1.09 (0.75 to 1.60) | 0.66 | 2.15 (1.44 to 3.19) | < 0.001* | 1.16 (0.90 to 1.49) | 0.26 | |
Living alone | Not living alone | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Living alone | 1.16 (0.86 to 1.57) | 0.34 | 1.59 (1.10 to 2.30) | 0.01 | 1.96 (1.27 to 3.01) | 0.002* | 1.61 (1.11 to 2.33) | 0.01 | 1.14 (0.86 to 1.50) | 0.36 | 1.23 (0.96 to 1.57) | 0.10 | 1.17 (0.97 to 1.41) | 0.10 | |
Relationship status | Not partnered | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Partnered | 0.83 (0.65 to 1.05) | 0.12 | 0.82 (0.60 to 1.12) | 0.21 | 0.49 (0.33 to 0.72) | < 0.001* | 0.87 (0.64 to 1.17) | 0.36 | 1.12 (0.89 to 1.40) | 0.33 | 1.14 (0.93 to 1.41) | 0.21 | 1.08 (0.93 to 1.25) | 0.33 | |
Ever had COVID–19 | Think not | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – | Ref | – |
Think yes | 1.08 (0.84 to 1.40) | 0.55 | 0.95 (0.68 to 1.33) | 0.75 | 1.50 (1.05 to 2.16) | 0.03 | 1.20 (0.90 to 1.60) | 0.22 | 1.06 (0.84 to 1.32) | 0.64 | 1.01 (0.82 to 1.23) | 0.94 | 1.28 (1.14 to 1.44) | < 0.001* | |
Financial hardship | Range 3 (least) to 15 (most) | 0.94 (0.91 to 0.98) | 0.001* | 1.01 (0.97 to 1.06) | 0.54 | 0.98 (0.93 to 1.04) | 0.52 | 0.99 (0.95 to 1.03) | 0.66 | 0.95 (0.92 to 0.98) | 0.001* | 0.94 (0.91 to 0.96) | < 0.001* | 0.94 (0.92 to 0.96) | < 0.001* |
†Adjusting for wave, region, gender, age (raw and quadratic), presence of a dependent child in the household, having a chronic illness oneself, having a household member who has chronic illness, employment status, highest earner in household works in a manual occupation, index of multiple deprivation, highest educational or professional qualification, ethnicity, first language, living alone, relationship status, having had COVID-19 before, and financial hardship.
*p ≤ 0.004.