Table 3.
Heterogeneities in the non-critical business effect on stock prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.
| Dependent variable: |
|
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Time window: | May20 ( 8 months) |
||
| Specification: | (1) | (2) | (3) |
| COVID-19 × Non-critical | −0.0676 | −0.0553 | −0.0585 |
| (0.033) | (0.030) | (0.032) | |
| COVID-19 × Leverage | 0.0018 | ||
| (0.001) | |||
| COVID-19 × Non-critical × Leverage | −0.0681 | ||
| (0.038) | |||
| COVID-19 × Intangible intensity | 0.0269 | ||
| (0.010) | |||
| COVID-19 × Non-critical × Intangible intensity | 0.0298 | ||
| (0.014) | |||
| COVID-19 × HRM ineffectiveness | −0.0010 | ||
| (0.002) | |||
| COVID-19 × Non-critical × HRM ineffectiveness | −0.1313 | ||
| (0.045) | |||
| Error clustering | |||
| Industrial group | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Ex-ante controls | |||
| Firm | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Country | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Fixed effects | |||
| Firm | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Time × Subsector | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 986,216 | 1,007,391 | 711,172 |
| 2 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 |
Note: This table reports coefficient estimates for the specification in Eq. (3). The dependent variable represents the logarithm of the week’s closing price of the stock of firm . We use the following firm-specific characteristics to compose the transmission factor : leverage (Spec. 1), intangible intensity (Spec. 2), and HRM ineffectiveness (Spec. 3). We include ex-ante controls for firm (fixed with the latest observed values in 2019): Market capitalization, Total assets, EBITDA and Price-to-book. We also include ex-ante controls for country (fixed with 2019 values): GDP per capita, Unemployment, Inflation, Country openness and Population. All ex-ante controls are interacted with time to avoid collinearity with fixed effects. identifies whether the industrial group of firm is a non-essential economic activity. is equal to 1 if 2020-01-31 and 0 otherwise. We cluster errors at the industrial group level, which coincides with the level of variation of the variable . We report results for a time window of eight months centered on the event in order to cover the first wave of the pandemic. Statistical significance: -value ; -value ; -value .