Table 3.
TGARCH results of the effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on BTI and DGH share prices.
|
Variable |
BTI |
DGH |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficient | Z-statistic | Coefficient | Z-statistic | |
| Mean equation | ||||
| 0.00076 | 0.065 | −0.039 | −0.466 | |
| 0.086 | 1.053 | −0.088 | −1.193 | |
| Variance equation | ||||
| 0.104** | 2.193 | 0.148** | 2.552 | |
| 0.91*** | 35.47 | 0.638*** | 10.939 | |
| −0.048** | −2.074 | 0.204*** | 2.830 | |
| 0.274*** | 4.755 | 0.383** | 2.350 | |
| Model summary | ||
| 0.226() | 0.587 () | |
| Log likelihood | −500.882 | −487.400 |
| Durban Watson statistic | 2.055 | 1.705 |
| Alkaike Information Criterion | 4.104 | 3.995 |
| Schwatz Criterion | 4.190 | 4.080 |
| Diagnostics | ||
| ARCH LM Test | 1.100 ( =0.334) | 0.150 ( = 0.699) |
| Collelogram of standardized residuals | = 0.223 | = 0.524 |
| Collelogram of standardized residuals squared | = 0.347 | = 0.696 |
| Jarque-Bera Test | 23.50 ( =0.000) | 9.89 ( =0.007) |
Sig at **5%, ***1%.