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. 2022 Jun 16;127:103186. doi: 10.1016/j.pce.2022.103186

Table 3.

TGARCH results of the effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on BTI and DGH share prices.


Variable
BTI
DGH
Coefficient Z-statistic Coefficient Z-statistic
Mean equation
0 0.00076 0.065 −0.039 −0.466
rt1 0.086 1.053 −0.088 −1.193
Variance equation
0 0.104** 2.193 0.148** 2.552
β1 0.91*** 35.47 0.638*** 10.939
1 −0.048** −2.074 0.204*** 2.830
δ 0.274*** 4.755 0.383** 2.350
Model summary
1+δ 0.226(<1) 0.587 (<1)
Log likelihood −500.882 −487.400
Durban Watson statistic 2.055 1.705
Alkaike Information Criterion 4.104 3.995
Schwatz Criterion 4.190 4.080
Diagnostics
ARCH LM Test 1.100 (p =0.334) 0.150 (p = 0.699)
Collelogram of standardized residuals p = 0.223 p = 0.524
Collelogram of standardized residuals squared p = 0.347 p = 0.696
Jarque-Bera Test 23.50 (p =0.000) 9.89 (p =0.007)

Sig at **5%, ***1%.