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. 2022 Jun 20;40:100599. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100599

Table 1.

Summary of parameter values and initial values of variables.

Variable Description Values/Source Unit References
Initial state values

S(0) Initial susceptible population data individuals Philippine Statistics Authority (2020)
E(0) Initial exposed fitted individuals
Ia(0) Initial infectious asymptomatic fitted individuals
Is(0) Initial infectious symptomatic fitted individuals
C(0) Initial confirmed cases actual data individuals Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)
R(0) Initial recovered 0 individuals assumed

Model parameter values

R0 Basic reproduction number 4.0, 3.0 dimensionless U.S. Centers for Disease and Control (2020)
A Constant recruitment rate population data individuals/day macrotrends, 2020a, Philippine Statistics Authority, 2020
μ Natural death rate 4.05×105 1/day macrotrends (2020b)
β0 Baseline transmission rate 0.4343, 0.3258 1/day U.S. Centers for Disease and Control (2020)
λ Transmission reduction fitted 1/day
ψ Relative infectiousness of asymptomatics 1.0000 dimensionless U.S. Centers for Disease and Control (2020)
τ Incubation period 5.0000 day World Health Organization (2020b)
c Proportion of asymptomatic infections 0.1800 dimensionless Mizumoto et al. (2020)
ω Symptomatic transition 0.3300 1/day World Health Organization, 2020a, Mizumoto et al., 2020
θ Undetected, asymptomatic recovery rate 0.0714 1/day World Health Organization (2020b)
δa Detection rate for asymptomatic case data 1/day Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)
δs Detection rate for symptomatic case data 1/day Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)
r Post-detection recovery rate 0.0404 1/day Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)
εI COVID-19 death rate, undetected 0.0031 1/day Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)
εT COVID-19 death rate, detected 0.0031 1/day Department of Health - Epidemiology Bureau (2020)