Table 2.

Scenarios for the partial lifting of ECQ in NCR. Dates are all for the year 2020.

Factors	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	Scenario 3	Scenario 4
Start of GCQ	May 16	May 31	May 16	May 31
End of GCQ	Dec. 31	Dec. 31	Dec. 31	Dec. 31
People allowed to go out	50%	50%	50%	50%
Health system capacity (${\delta }_S$) from May 16	20%	20%	50%	50%
Estimated peak infection	170,166	159,238	22,325	18,405
Estimated peak date	Jul 20, 2020	Aug 14, 2020	May 29, 2020	May 23, 2020
Critical cases at peak date	10,210	9,554	1,339	1,104