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. 2022 Jun 20;40:100599. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100599

Table 3.

Projections of the cumulative cases in NCR under GCQ and MECQ. Dates are all for the year 2020.

Date GCQ after Aug 18
MECQ to Aug 31, GCQ from Sep 1
δS=25% δS=35% δS=50% δS=25% δS=35% δS=50%
Aug 31 129,383 130,116 129,826 127,468 128,489 128,596
Sep 15 168,766 154,180 143,382 146,296 140,512 135,964
Sep 30 218,547 172,367 149,278 166,531 148,065 138,641