Table 3.
Epidemic peak time and peak number of cases under different measures scenarios.
| Parameter | Value | Epidemic peak |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newly confirmed cases |
Newly asymptomatic infectious |
||||
| Time | Number | Time | Number | ||
| t1&t2 | 44&53d | 4-22-2022 | 8,606 | 4-22-2022 | 124,861 |
| 34&43d* | 4-13-2022 | 1,963 | 4-13-2022 | 28,502 | |
| 24&33d | 4-3-2022 | 266 | 4-3-2022 | 3,858 | |
| 14&23d | 3-24-2022 | 33 | 3-24-2022 | 473 | |
| q | 0.10 | 4-13-2022 | 4,096 | 4-13-2022 | 59,461 |
| 0.15* | 4-13-2022 | 1,963 | 4-13-2022 | 28,502 | |
| 0.20 | 4-13-2022 | 925 | 4-13-2022 | 13,432 | |
| 0.25 | 4-13-2022 | 428 | 4-13-2022 | 6,216 | |
| γ | 0.10* | 4-13-2022 | 1,963 | 4-13-2022 | 28,502 |
| 0.15 | 4-13-2022 | 1,294 | 4-13-2022 | 18,778 | |
| 0.20 | 4-13-2022 | 864 | 4-13-2022 | 12,540 | |
| v | 0.70* | 4-13-2022 | 1,963 | 4-13-2022 | 28,502 |
| 0.75 | 4-13-2022 | 1,734 | 4-13-2022 | 25,672 | |
| 0.80 | 4-13-2022 | 1,560 | 4-13-2022 | 23,103 | |
*: Parameters observed or specified in the model as a reference.