TABLE 3.
Interrupted time series results for change in outcome after COVID-19 containment measures. Segmented regression model parameter estimates, 95% CI and p-value for (a) weekly hospitalization rates (b) mean length of stay and (c) weekly percent discharged home in Tuscany between January and July. Changes in acute myocardial infarction, stroke and heart failure hospitalizations during COVID-19 pandemic in Tuscany—an interrupted time series study, Tuscany, Italy, 2020.
Level change | Trend change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Effect | 95% CI | p-value | Effect | 95% CI | p-value | |
Hospitalization rate (per 100000) | ||||||
All Inpatient | −182 | (−235, −130) | <0.001 | 1.04 | (−8.16, 10.24) | 0.826 |
Urgent Care | −39 | (−51.1, −26.0) | <0.001 | 0.67 | (−1.99, 3.34) | 0.624 |
AMI | −1.31 | (−1.98, −0.66) | <0.001 | −0.04 | (−0.20, 0.12) | 0.635 |
Stroke | −1.51 | (−2.57, −0.44) | 0.008 | 0.05 | (−0.13, 0.24) | 0.564 |
Heart Failure | −8.71 | (−11.12, −6.29) | <0.001 | 0.33 | (−0.09, 0.75) | 0.129 |
Average length of stay (days) | ||||||
AMI | 0.63 | (−0.31, 1.57) | 0.183 | 0.07 | (−0.11, 0.25) | 0.427 |
Stroke | 0.82 | (−0.95, 2.58) | 0.355 | −0.01 | (−0.32, 0.29) | 0.924 |
Heart Failure | 0.01 | (−0.69, 0.71) | 0.981 | −0.06 | (−0.19, 0.06) | 0.290 |
In-hospital mortality (%) | ||||||
AMI | −1.39 | (−4.73, 1.94) | 0.406 | −0.17 | (−0.75, 0.40) | 0.548 |
Stroke | 0.27 | (−1.45, 1.98) | 0.763 | 0.04 | (−0.28, 0.37) | 0.794 |
Heart Failure | 2.43 | (−0.73, 5.60) | 0.138 | −0.36 | (−0.91, 0.19) | 0.207 |