Table 3.
Comparison between actual survival probability and predicted survival probability.
| Actual Survival Probability Based on Kaplan–Meier Curves | Predicted Survival Probability Calculated from Nomograms | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hospital survival | |||
| 15d | High-risk group | 40.70% (95% CI, 28.03–59.20%) | 41.25% (95% CI, 33.57–48.89%) |
| Low-risk group | 83.40% (95% CI, 76.06–91.50%) | 82.71% (95% CI, 80.93–85.33%) | |
| 30d | High-risk group | 14.00% (95% CI, 6.32–31.00%) | 14.63% (95% CI, 9.41–19.84%) |
| Low-risk group | 64.60% (95% CI, 54.23–76.90%) | 63.70% (95% CI, 59.06–68.34%) | |
| 45d | High-risk group | 7.00% (95% CI, 1.98–24.7%) | 5.74% (95% CI, 2.74–8.74%) |
| Low-risk group | 46.30% (95% CI, 33.37–64.20%) | 49.36% (95% CI, 44.24–52.23%) | |
| Transplant-free survival | |||
| 6m | High-risk group | NA † | 11.33% (95% CI, 6.61–16.06%) |
| Low-risk group | 53.4% (95% CI, 40.33–70.70%) | 56.50% (95% CI, 48.67–64.32%) | |
| 12m | High-risk group | NA | 2.04% (95% CI, 0.09–3.98%) |
| Low-risk group | 30.80% (95% CI, 16.55–57.40%) | 31.69% (95% CI, 22.93–40.52%) | |
| 18m | High-risk group | NA | 0.73% (95% CI, 0.00–1.88%) |
| Low-risk group | 23.10% (95% CI, 9.97–53.60%) | 27.59% (95% CI, 19.03–36.16%) | |
Note: †: The follow-up range of the patients in the high-risk group who died was 0.03–2.48 months.