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. 2022 Jun 16;10(6):1120. doi: 10.3390/healthcare10061120

Table 3.

RMSE and MAE values for univariate models in five different forecasting horizons.

Models Forecasting Horizon (in Days)
1 7 14 21 30
RMSE MAE RMSE MAE RMSE MAE RMSE MAE RMSE MAE
SARIMA 33.57 26.58 32.73 26.03 28.81 22.28 47.59 39.97 96.20 89.92
FP 43.82 34.74 45.94 41.62 54.50 51.15 60.67 57.27 53.75 49.99
HW 28.42 21.29 28.19 21.32 30.20 23.07 38.47 32.34 89.74 84.09
LSTM 29.92 23.64 29.94 23.65 30.70 23.92 30.43 23.97 31.32 24.52

Note: Green highlights the model with the best results. Interpretation: The LTSM model with a 30-day horizon had the lowest RMSE of 31.32 and lowest MAE of 24.52 of all four models, suggesting that the prediction of daily patients on a 30-day horizon was best accomplished with the LTSM model. MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error (units = patients).