Table 1. Machine learning predictions of the impact of RBD mutations in current and former CDC Variants of Concern on ACE2 affinity and human serum antibody escape.
Variant | RBD Mutations | Predicted ACE2 affinity (KA app, M) | Predicted antibody escape (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Wild type | 1.00 x 1011 | 3.4 | |
Alpha | N501Y | 1.48 x 10 11 | 2.5 |
Beta | K417N, E484K, N501Y | 4.32 x 1010 | 7.2 |
Epsilon | L452R | 2.54 x 10 11 | 5.5 |
Gamma | K417T, E484K, N501Y | 9.76 x 1010 | 7.7 |
Delta | L452R, T478K | 4.37 x 10 11 | 6.3 |
Predictions of increased ACE2 affinity or human serum antibody escape or both relative to wild-type SARS-CoV-2 are indicated by bold values. ACE2 affinities are reported as apparent values because the experimental datasets were obtained using bivalent ACE2 (ACE2-Fc), which results in much higher apparent affinities than those observed for monovalent ACE2.