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. 2022 Jun 11;11(12):3364. doi: 10.3390/jcm11123364

Table 8.

Possible predictors to immune checkpoint inhibitor response in locally advanced and metastatic Merkel cell carcinoma.

Potential Predictor; Assessment Number of Patients and Type of Malignancy Treatment Value as Predictor Ref.
Previous lines of treatment; clinical 38 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, nivolumab + ipilimimab Negative predictor
(p-value = 0.0066)
Knepper et al., 2019 [17]
Unimpaired performance status, absence of immunosuppression; clinical 41 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab Positive predictors Spassova et al., 2020 [19]
Impaired performance status (A), completion of 2 years of treatment(B); clinical 50 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab A: negative predictor;
B: positive predictor
Nghiem et al., 2021 [84]
Absence of immunosuppression, limited number of tumor-involved organ systems; clinical 114 unresectable MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab Negative predictors Spassova et al., 2022 [194]
BMI ≥ 30; clinical 20 advanced MCCs Avelumab Positive predictor of longer time to treatment failure (p-value = 0.004) and objective RR (p-value = 0.01) Badalamenti et al., 2022 [106]
MCPyV-specific B-cells and T-cells responses; blood-based 26 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab Not confirmed as predictor, related to tumor burden Miller et al., 2018 [195]
Reduction of neuron-specific enolase; blood based 23 advanced MCCs Immunotherapy Possible positive predictor van Veenendaal et al. 2021 [196]
PD-L1 expression; immunohistochemical 88 m-MCCs Avelumab Not confirmed as predictor Kaufman et al., 2018 [99]
PD-L1 expression; immunohistochemical 27 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, nivolumab + ipilimimab Not confirmed as predictor (p-value = 0.606) Knepper et al., 2019 [17]
PD-L1 expression; immunohistochemical 47 la- MCCs and m-MCCs Pembrolizumab Not confirmed as predictor (p-value = 0.68), associated to improved PFS and OS Nghiem et al., 2019 [18]
PD-L1 expression; immunohistochemical 41 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, Not confirmed as predictor Spassova et al., 2020 [19]
PD-L1 expression; immunohistochemical 116 m-MCCs Avelumab Not confirmed as predictor, responses tended to be higher in PD-L1+ tumors D’Angelo et al., 2021 [100]
PD-1+ cells density; immunohistochemical 26 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab Positive predictor (p-value = 0.02) Giraldo et al., 2018 [197]
PD-L1+ cells density;
immunohistochemical
26 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab Positive predictor (p-value = 0.03) Giraldo et al., 2018 [197]
PD-1+/PD-L1+ cells proximity; immunohistochemical 26 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab Positive predictor (p-value = 0.03) Giraldo et al., 2018 [197]
PD-1 expression; immunohistochemical 27 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, nivolumab + ipilimimab Positive predictor (p-value = 0.00598) Knepper et al., 2019 [17]
TILs with low T-cell clonality and high TCR diversity; immunohistochemical and molecular biology techniques 41 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, Positive predictor Spassova et al., 2020 [19]
Increased intratumoral CD8+ T-cells; immunohistochemical 116 m-MCCs Avelumab Not confirmed as predictor, responses tended to be higher in tumors rich in CD8+ T-cells D’Angelo et al., 2021 [100]
TILs rich in γδ T cells; flow cytometry from tumor suspension 39 advanced MCCs Not specified, not used in all patients Positive predictor in immunotherapy treated patients (p-value = 0.021) Gherardin et al., 2021 [198]
Effector memory CD4+ and CD8+ T cells co-expressing CD28, HLA-DR and PD-1; blood-based immunophenotype 27 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab Positive predictor (p-value < 0.05) Greene et al., 2021 [199]
Predominance of CD8+ effector and central memory T-cells (A); T cells in proximity to tumoral cells (B); immunohistochemical 114 unresectable MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab Positive predictors ([A] p-value = 0.02; [B] p-value = 0.009) Spassova et al., 2022 [194]
MCPyV positive status; immunohistochemical and molecular biology techniques 27 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, nivolumab + ipilimimab Not confirmed as predictor (p-value = 0.63) Knepper et al., 2019 [17]
MCPyV positive status; blood-based and immunohistochemical 47 la-MCCs and m-MCCs Pembrolizumab Not confirmed as predictor (p-value = 0.765) Nghiem et al., 2019 [18]
MCPyV positive status; molecular biology techniques 41 advanced MCCs Pembrolizumab, nivolumab, avelumab, Not confirmed as predictor Spassova et al., 2020 [19]
MCPyV positive status; molecular biology techniques 116 m-MCCs Avelumab Not confirmed as predictor, responses tended to be lower in MCPyV + tumors D’Angelo et al., 2021 [100]

Note: Abbreviations: la-MCC (locally advanced Merkel cell carcinoma; m-MCC (metastatic Merkel squamous cell carcinoma); PFS (progression-free survival; OS (overall survival); TILs (tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes); TCR (T-cell receptor); MCPyV (Merkel cell polyomavirus).