Figure 3.

MADE distribution and dynamic parameter Bayesian estimates of ${\mathrm{\text{β}}}_0\left(t\right)$, ${\mathrm{\text{β}}}_1\left(t\right)$, and ${\mathrm{\text{β}}}_2\left(t\right)$ (bold lines are the true coefficient functions and gray lines correspond to ten randomly selected estimates), corresponding to 250 synthetic datasets generated according to TVCM (18). Sample sizes are displayed in columns (n = 25, n = 50, and n = 100). The model is fitted each time using both radial kernel (K) and regression spline (S) functions, with Frequentist (blue), Bayesian (black), and variational (green) methods.