Table 3.
Procedure of dynamic model creation and simulation.
| Step | Comment |
|---|---|
| Identification of variables | Expert consensus based on a set of prominent routinely assessed clinical variables |
| The variable can be scalar (single value) or vector (multiple values) type. Example of scalar is patient's age, example of vector is “Other somatic pathologies” | |
| Construction of causal-loop diagram (CLD) | Based on the assumed existence of a relationship between variables that is either scientifically validated and documented (e.g., depression and quality of nighttime sleep) or self-evident (expected specific effect of stimulants on sleepiness), or based on systems analysis and expert consensus. |
| “Causal” in models of complex non-linear systems does not refer to causality in a common meaning of the word. | |
| Construction of stock and flow diagram | Step-by-step process based on the system-dynamic methodology, mathematization of variables, relations and their notation in the form of a system of differential equations. |
| Setting of delays | The impact of changes is delayed in dynamic systems, the length and type of delay is set according to the input data received. |
| Normalization of input data | Input data were acquired in various units, to be comparable they must be converted to a common scale. |
| Setting of initial values | The normalized data are inserted into a system of differential equations and the model becomes simulation-ready. |
| Simulation | The output of the simulation is obtained by solving a system of differential equations in a given sequence of steps representing the time from the onset of the disease to the time of the interview. |