Table 4. Total cumulative undiscounted health and social care costs, value of informal care, and value of QALYs (where 1 QALY valued at £60,000) for adults aged 35–100 in England and Wales, over 10 years from 2020–2029.
Population | Scenario | Healthcare | Social care | Value of informal care | Total costs | Value of QALYs lost (billions) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 1 | 62.9 | 12.1 | 38.3 | 113.2 | 77.2 | |
(49.8 to 75.5) | (9.5 to 14.5) | (30.3 to 46.0) | (89.6 to 136.0) | (79.5 to 75.5) | ||
CVD | Scenario 2 | 49.7 | 10 | 30.9 | 90.6 | 61.2 |
(39.2 to 60.0) | (7.8 to 12.0) | (24.3 to 37.1) | (71.2 to 109.0) | (63.5 to 59.5) | ||
Difference (1–2) | 13.1 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 22.6 | 16.1 | |
(9.8 to 16.7) | (1.6 to 2.7) | (5.6 to 9.4) | (17.0 to 28.7) | (13.1 to 19.0) | ||
Scenario 1 | 17.4 | 52.7 | 36 | 106.1 | 42.8 | |
(13.8 to 21.1) | (41.7 to 63.4) | (28.6 to 43.5) | (84.1 to 128.1) | (45.3 to 40.4) | ||
Dementia | Scenario 2 | 17.7 | 52.5 | 36.1 | 106.3 | 43.1 |
(13.9 to 21.3) | (41.2 to 63.2) | (28.3 to 43.5) | (83.4 to 127.8) | (45.8 to 40.6) | ||
Difference (1–2) | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | |
(-1.6 to 1.2) | (-2.5 to 2.8) | (-2.7 to 2.5) | (-6.7 to 6.3) | (-3.7 to 3.4) | ||
Scenario 1 | 800.6 | 141.9 | 285.1 | 1,228.00 | -15,247.30 | |
(631.8 to 960.6) | (112.4 to 170.4) | (225.8 to 342.7) | (970.4 to 1,472.0) | (-15,222.2 to -15,270.9) | ||
Whole population aged 35–100 | Scenario 2 | 788.5 | 140.6 | 277.5 | 1,206.60 | -15,279.40 |
(623.1 to 943.6) | (111.1 to 168.2) | (219.4 to 332.1) | (952.6 to 1,443.0) | (-15,253.9 to -15,304.3) | ||
Difference (1–2) | 12.5 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 21.6 | 32.3 | |
(8.9 to 16.7) | (-0.8 to 3.9) | (3.3 to 12.5) | (13.0 to 31.9) | (-3.5 to 69.6) |
£billions in 2019 prices (95% uncertainty intervals in brackets). Comparing Scenario 1 –CVD Plateau, with Scenario 2- CVD Fall.
Note: QALYs are quality adjusted life years. QALYs for CVD and dementia are QALYs lost through disease; QALYs across the whole population is QALYs experienced, so is displayed as a negative value, as it is QALYs lived rather than lost. Data sources same as Table 1.