Table 3.
Model | Pt (%) | Net income |
Model net income |
Advantages of the model# |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Treat all |
Prediction model |
||||
FLR-L1-LR | 5 | 0.051 | 0.066 | 0.015 | 29 |
10 | −0.002 | 0.049 | 0.051 | 46 | |
11a | −0.013 | 0.048 | 0.061 | 49 | |
FLR-SVM | 5 | 0.051 | 0.065 | 0.014 | 27 |
10 | −0.002 | 0.048 | 0.050 | 45 | |
11a | −0.013 | 0.045 | 0.058 | 47 | |
Lasso- AdaBoost |
5 | 0.051 | 0.063 | 0.012 | 23 |
10 | −0.002 | 0.045 | 0.047 | 43 | |
11a | −0.013 | 0.043 | 0.056 | 46 | |
FLR-RF | 5 | 0.051 | 0.064 | 0.013 | 25 |
10 | −0.002 | 0.046 | 0.048 | 43 | |
8a | 0.02 | 0.053 | 0.033 | 38 |
The value was calculated as: (net benefit of the model– net benefit of treat all)/[pt/(1 – pt)] × 100.
Select the optimal threshold probability of each model according to AUC.
Pt, Threshold probability; Lasso-AdaBoost, AdaBoost with Lasso regression; FLR-L1-LR, L1 regularized Logistic regression with forward Partial Likelihood Estimation; FLR-RF, random forest with forward Partial Likelihood Estimation; FLR-SVM, support vector machine with forward Partial Likelihood Estimation.