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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2022 Jul 1;31(7):1298–1304. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-22-0024

Table 1:

Mortality reduction for hypothetical cancer screening trials with ten years of follow-up and incidence and stage-specific survival estimated from SEER

Cancer Site Incidence Hazard Rate (λd) Early-Stage Mortality Hazard Rate (λ0) Late-Stage Mortality Hazard Rate (λ1) Late-Stage Disease Percent (p1) Stage-Shift Multiplier (ρ)
Ovary 7.38 × 10−6 0.030 0.198 56% 0.636
Lymphoma 0.16 × 10−6 0.027 0.064 51% 0.367
Lung 0.33 × 10−6 0.157 0.570 62% 0.292
Stomach 4.56 × 10−6 0.133 0.586 41% 0.261
Bladder 7.35 × 10−6 0.022 0.489 4% 0.211
Pancreas 6.83 × 10−6 0.319 0.658 61% 0.115
Liver 6.99 × 10−6 0.238 0.692 19% 0.070