Fig. 2.
Smoothed probability of Panic Regime for univariate Markov switching models. The flow series considered are the aggregated flow of ETFs with exposure to Asia (panel A), Europe (panel B), and U.S. (panel C). The blue line represents the number of new COVID-19 cases in each geographic location during the period of study. The first time that the number of new infected people in each area surpassed 100 is indicated with an arrow. The sample period is from January 2020 to October 2020. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
