Table 3.
Sensitivity analysis for predictors of focal autoimmune pancreatitis type 1 diagnosis resulted significative at multiple regression
| PD thickening walls | CBD thickening walls | Absence of vessels infiltration | Soft pattern at EUS elastography | Presence of at least 2 of 4 predictive factors | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity | 66.7 (38.4-88.2) | 60.0 (32.3-83.7) | 80.0 (51.9-95.7) | 71.4 (41.9-91.6) | 86.7 (59.5-98.3) |
| Specificity | 93.3 (83.8-98.1) | 86.4 (75.0-94.0) | 85.0 (73.4-92.9) | 96.2 (87.0-99.5) | 96.7 (88.5-99.6) |
| Positive likelihood ratio | 10.0 (3.63-27.5) | 4.43 (2.06-9.51) | 5.33 (2.77-10.2) | 18.9 (4.67-76.7) | 26.0 (6.56-103.0) |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.36 (0.17-0.73) | 0.46 (0.25-0.87) | 0.24 (0.09-0.65) | 0.30 (0.13-0.68) | 0.14 (0.04-0.50) |
| Positive predictive value | 71.4 (47.6-87.3) | 52.9 (34.3-70.7) | 57.1 (41.0-71.9) | 83.3 (55.2-95.3) | 86.7 (62.1-96.3) |
| Negative predictive value | 91.8 (84.5-95.8) | 89.5 (81.9-94.1) | 94.4 (86.0-97.9) | 92.7 (84.8-96.7) | 96.7 (88.9-99.1) |
PD: Pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct