Table 5.
Cost-effectiveness results of multiple PrEP scenarios
PrEP scenario | Coverage (%) | Adherence | Eligibility | ICER ($/QALY) | ICER ($/QALY) | ICER ($/QALY) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
All | Black | White | All | Black | White | Black | White | All | ||
| ||||||||||
1 (base-case) | 40 | 40 | 40 | 20.9%, 24.4%, 13.1%, 41.6%a | Aged 16–18 and AI experienced | 33,064 | 427,788 | 116,971 | ||
2 | 30 | 19 | 41 | 29,275 | 539,573 | 188,016 | ||||
3 | 40 | 26 | 54 | 33,469 | 558,259 | 196,249 | ||||
4 | 50 | 32 | 68 | 31,525 | 576,626 | 194,419 | ||||
5 | 30 | 19 | 41 | 20.9%, 24.4%, 13.1%, 41.6% | 30.9%, 18.7%, 18.7%, 31.7% | 10.9%, 18.8%, 18.8%, 51.5% | 33,616 | 473,581 | 184,166 | |
6 | 40 | 26 | 54 | 41,637 | 466,783 | 192,680 | ||||
7 | 50 | 32 | 68 | 45,274 | 512,706 | 204,084 | ||||
8 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 20.9%, 24.4%, 13.1%, 41.6% | Aged 16–18 and 10+ CAI in last 6 mo | 17,008 | 372,306 | 91,782 | ||
9 | 30 | 19 | 41 | 10,461 | 456,654 | 148,477 | ||||
10 | 40 | 26 | 54 | 15,411 | 485,126 | 159,256 | ||||
11 | 50 | 32 | 68 | 14,488 | 513,673 | 160,067 | ||||
12 | 30 | 19 | 41 | 20.9%, 24.4%, 13.1%, 41.6% | 30.9%, 18.7%, 18.7%, 31.7% | 10.9%, 18.8%, 18.8%, 51.5% | 31,550 | 403,256 | 168,700 | |
13 | 40 | 26 | 54 | 22,640 | 427,013 | 160,793 | ||||
14 | 50 | 32 | 68 | 31,871 | 452,017 | 176,344 |
AI = anal intercourse; CAI = condomless anal intercourse; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; PrEP = pre-exposure prophylaxis; QALY = quality-adjusted life years.
The cohort adherence included 20.9%, 24.4%, 13.1%, and 41.6% of PrEP users with no measurable adherence, low (<2 pills/wk), medium (2–3 pills/wk), and high adherence (>4 pills/wk), respectively.