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. 2022 Jul 6;158(10):1131–1141. doi: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2022.2909

Table 3. Final Multivariable Flexible Parametric Survival Model for Drug Discontinuation Associated With Ineffectivenessa.

Covariate Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Age 0.99 (0.99-1.00)
Female sex 1.11 (1.04-1.19)b
Baseline Psoriasis Area and Severity Index 1.01 (1.01-1.02)b
BMIc 0.01 (0.01-0.03)b
Palmoplantar psoriasis 1.10 (1.01-1.20)b
Diabetes 1.22 (1.09-1.35)b
COPD 1.26 (1.00-1.58)
Flexural psoriasis 1.06 (0.99-1.14)
Methotrexate use 1.19 (1.05-1.33)b
Cyclosporine use 3.00 (2.55-3.53)b
Psoriatic arthritis (in patients receiving treatment with ustekinumab) 1.18 (1.03-1.35)b
Nail involvement (in patients receiving treatment with ustekinumab) 1.23 (1.09-1.38)b
Previous biologic experience (compared with biologic-naive patients)
1 Previous biologic (in patients receiving treatment with ustekinumab) 1.62 (1.42-1.85)b
2 Previous biologics (in patients receiving treatment with ustekinumab) 1.69 (1.43-2.00)b
Race and ethnicity (compared with White individuals)
Asian 1.21 (0.96-1.52)
Otherd 1.20 (0.89-1.64)
Biologic therapies
Biologic-naive White patients with no PsA and nail involvement
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 2.36 (2.02-2.76)b
Secukinumab 1.22 (0.96-1.53)
Ixekizumab 0.51 (0.22-1.20)
Guselkumab 0.14 (0.03-0.61)b
In patients with PsA
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 1.81 (1.46-2.23)b
Secukinumab 0.99 (0.74-1.32)
Ixekizumab 0.41 (0.16-1.02)
Guselkumab 0.07 (0.02-0.37)b
In patients with 1 previous biologic
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 1.51 (1.26-1.82)b
Secukinumab 1.38 (1.11-1.72)b
Ixekizumab 0.84 (0.50-1.41)
Guselkumab 0.20 (0.08-0.55)b
In patients with ≥2 previous biologics
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 2.36 (1.85-3.03)b
Secukinumab 1.85 (1.46-2.35)b
Ixekizumab 2.07 (1.39-3.08)b
Guselkumab 0.78 (0.41-1.50)
In patients with nail involvement
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 1.91 (1.65-2.21)b
Secukinumab 1.09 (0.87-1.37)
Ixekizumab 0.40 (0.17-0.92)b
Guselkumab 0.10 (0.02-0.44)b
In Asian patients
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 3.10 (2.24-4.29)b
Secukinumab 0.89 (0.57-1.37)
Ixekizumab 0.43 (0.14-1.26)
Guselkumab 0.04 (0.00-0.46)b
In patients of other racial and ethnic minority groups
Ustekinumab 1 [Reference]
Adalimumab 2.09 (1.39-3.15)b
Secukinumab 0.73 (0.43-1.25)
Ixekizumab 0.46 (0.15-1.42)
Guselkumab 0.13 (0.02-0.89)b

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PsA, psoriatic arthritis.

a

Comparisons of model fit statistics suggested that 4 knots and 1 knot be placed for the restricted cubic splines to model the baseline hazard and the time-dependent effect of biologic treatment, respectively. For the interactions, the effects of the biologic therapies are compared with each other in each covariate strata.

b

Statistically significant results (P < .05).

c

BMI transformation = (BMI/10)−2.

d

Other race and ethnicity included Black British individuals.