Table 2.
Baseline | Controls (trade partners) | Direct effect | |
---|---|---|---|
Vaccinated people (per 100) | 0.054*** | 0.052*** | 0.043*** |
(0.044, 0.064) | (0.042, 0.061) | (0.033, 0.052) | |
Cases (lag) | 0.001** | 0.001*** | 0.002*** |
(−0.000, 0.001) | (0.000, 0.002) | (0.001, 0.003) | |
Deaths (lag) | −0.068*** | −0.041*** | −0.049*** |
(−0.103, −0.033) | (−0.075, −0.007) | (−0.086, −0.012) | |
Reproduction rate (lag) | −1.606*** | −1.305*** | −0.883*** |
(−1.850, −1.363) | (−1.540, −1.071) | (−1.123, −0.642) | |
Mobility Index (lag) | 0.057*** | 0.048*** | 0.054*** |
(0.046, 0.068) | (0.038, 0.059) | (0.044, 0.064) | |
Stringency Index (lag) | 0.014*** | 0.013*** | 0.007* |
(0.006, 0.023) | (0.005, 0.021) | (0.001, 0.015) | |
Temperature | 0.052*** | 0.008 | −0.014 |
(0.030, 0.071) | (−0.012, 0.028) | (−0.034, 0.006) | |
Vaccination of trade partners | −0.093*** | −0.090*** | |
(−0.115, −0.071) | (−0.112, −0.069) | ||
Deaths in trade partners | −0.461*** | −0.453*** | |
(−0.595, −0.328) | (−0.586, −0.320) | ||
Cases in partners | 0.001 | 0.003*** | |
(−0.001, 0.003) | (0.001, 0.005) | ||
GDP of partners | 0.861*** | 0.732*** | |
(0.755, 0.967) | (0.628, 0.836) | ||
Cases | −0.002*** | ||
(−0.002, −0.001) | |||
Deaths | −0.086*** | ||
(−0.124, −0.047) | |||
Reproduction rate | −1.667*** | ||
(−1.948, −1.386) | |||
Country dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Week dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 4204 | 4204 | 4204 |
R2 | 0.774 | 0.794 | 0.807 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.766 | 0.787 | 0.800 |
Residual Std. Error | 2.497 (df = 4059) | 2.384 (df = 4055) | 2.309 (df = 4052) |
F Statistic | 96.581*** (df = 144; 4059) | 105.695*** (df = 148; 4055) | 112.311*** (df = 151; 4052) |
*p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, and ***p < 0.01